NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5eb39f8abfd1ee8d9f8c5202ab2375b0ebd5d3546da7308837378af4a8f48fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,426,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,641,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,426,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 49c | 643,274$312,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330,502.6 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 51c | 516,827$264,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,362.14 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 50c | 206,981$104,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,653.82 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors | 50c | 111,879$55,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,939.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Raptors | 52c | 104,695$54,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,441.59 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Raptors | 49c | 85,040$41,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,669.72 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 51c | 32,549$16,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,594.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Raptors | 53c | 20,394$10,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,804.77 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 45c | 20,281$9,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,105.28 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 52c | 19,153$9,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,959.31 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Raptors | 50c | 17,578$8,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,788.82 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 51c | 14,753$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.09 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Raptors | 53c | 12,254$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.66 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Celtics | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 50c | 11,818$5,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,908.76 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 49c | 9,606$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Raptors | 52c | 9,253$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.5 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Raptors | 52c | 8,579$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.96 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Raptors | 49c | 8,420$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 56c | 6,576$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.94 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Celtics | 48c | 6,205$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.43 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 51c | 6,102$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.11 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Raptors | 51c | 6,090$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.92 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Celtics | 51c | 5,717$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.97 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Celtics | 47c | 5,106$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.37 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics | 48c | 4,916$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.28 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Raptors | 52c | 4,877$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.21 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Celtics | 54c | 4,538$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.35 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Raptors | 51c | 4,534$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.31 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Raptors | 53c | 4,529$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.35 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics | 56c | 4,346$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.43 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Celtics | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…3cd9backed Raptors | 51c | 3,997$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 50c | 3,741$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Celtics | 43c | 3,639$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.1 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Celtics | 47c | 3,578$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.46 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…2345backed Raptors | 51c | 3,330$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Celtics | 48c | 2,457$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.12 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Raptors | 52c | 2,159$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.66 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Celtics | 48c | 2,125$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,081$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.76 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Celtics | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Raptors | 2c | 1,915$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Raptors | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Raptors | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 33c | 1,761$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Raptors | 51c | 1,734$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.15 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Celtics | 58c | 1,687$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.17 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Raptors | 51c | 1,645$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Raptors | 52c | 1,591$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.34 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 61c | 1,472$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Raptors | 51c | 1,457$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.09 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Celtics | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Celtics | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.28 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Celtics | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8654…6d92backed Raptors | 52c | 1,303$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Raptors | 52c | 1,204$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.43 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Raptors | 51c | 1,191$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.6 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Celtics | 48c | 1,076$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.38 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 39c | 1,057$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.77 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,032$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Celtics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Celtics | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 46c | 942.41$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.36 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked Raptors | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Raptors | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics | 48c | 916.89$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.78 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 48c | 830$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Raptors | 50c | 820.62$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.31 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Celtics | 48c | 804.16$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.29 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Celtics | 49c | 793.37$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Celtics | 48c | 771.18$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.26 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Celtics | 51c | 749.82$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.41 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Raptors | 52c | 748.94$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.45 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Celtics | 16c | 669.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.69 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Celtics | 51c | 667.34$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.65 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Celtics | 47c | 657.56$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.69 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics | 48c | 639.22$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.3 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Raptors | 47c | 638.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Celtics | 48c | 612.03$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.45 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Celtics | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Raptors | 49c | 592.95$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Celtics | 50c | 590.87$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtics | 48c | 574.42$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Celtics | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Celtics | 51c | 508.74$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…4a25backed Celtics | 61c | 488.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Raptors | 52c | 469.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 44c | 464.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.06 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Raptors | 51c | 440.45$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Celtics | 49c | 431.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…ad65backed Celtics | 51c | 427.06$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Celtics | 61c | 400.52$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc1…aa8bbacked Raptors | 50c | 398.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Celtics | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Celtics | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.