TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$410,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics45c227,786$102,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,301.4972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Raptors55c221,133$121,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,623.2987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raptors49c21,191$10,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,391.131,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics46c17,022$7,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,242.913,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors52c16,450$8,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,492.3748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics51c15,840$8,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,707.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Celtics45c15,221$6,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,371.3324650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Raptors52c15,132$7,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,936.6819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics46c11,092$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,002.172,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Celtics44c7,489$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,193.941,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors53c6,029$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,167.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Celtics49c3,826$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.2621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics51c3,173$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Raptors51c3,134$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.921,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Raptors55c3,026$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.825050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics37c2,921$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Raptors55c2,638$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.1612257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Celtics46c2,500$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.948445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics45c2,144$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.1956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Raptors55c2,004$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.6358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Celtics47c1,850$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.6221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Raptors55c1,769$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9736144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics45c1,675$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors48c1,655$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics46c1,483$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.742,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics50c1,395$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.665,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors55c1,298$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.321,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors55c1,280$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.2990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Raptors55c1,259$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.4729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Celtics51c1,110$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.397052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors55c1,102$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Celtics46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.96237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Raptors56c993.07$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.127544%33 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors55c978.58$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.81,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb212…c63cbacked Raptors54c961.9$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.42977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Raptors53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.940041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics45c822.36$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.31,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics47c797.36$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Raptors56c584.16$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1310559%62 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Celtics45c580.2$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1149345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Raptors56c568.19$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.496341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Raptors55c530.84$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.918643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Raptors55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.910457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Raptors50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Celtics24c491.41$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.6252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics47c482.63$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.632,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Celtics45c465.8$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors55c463.34$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.841,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Celtics51c442.97$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.936949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Celtics46c437.23$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Raptors56c434.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.439552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Celtics45c427.06$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Celtics47c426.63$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7520638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Raptors70c423.24$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5311743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics47c421.13$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Raptors55c404.02$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6911346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Celtics54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6728046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Raptors56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Celtics51c317.66$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9112752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Celtics46c314.55$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8616948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Celtics37c310.46$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.281,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c85…31d4backed Celtics45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Raptors57c292.26$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5914039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors50c290.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.33,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Celtics51c263.73$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.934755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Raptors46c252.83$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.115230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Raptors51c245.68$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Raptors52c232.11$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Raptors53c229.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Raptors53c228.96$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Raptors55c220.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Celtics46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics45c213.48$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.011,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Raptors53c207.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7515252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Raptors53c201.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0432450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Celtics46c199.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Raptors53c199.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.794667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bc0…d9f4backed Raptors64c198.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Celtics49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.925049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Celtics51c194.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.366962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Celtics49c194.46$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4117428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Raptors53c192.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Raptors54c190.89$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0814946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Celtics51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2512845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Raptors53c189.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Celtics48c188.51$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…f611backed Celtics47c186.57$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Raptors53c184.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Raptors53c182.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8719550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Raptors62c182.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Celtics44c180.32$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5928643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Raptors55c175.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3372250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Raptors54c175.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.827153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Raptors56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3629345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Raptors54c172.77$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Celtics45c165.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.191,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Raptors52c162.77$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.595550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Raptors52c158.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5216053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Celtics51c158.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.097164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors51c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.