TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf05b…c2ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+604.2%+$845.92
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$213.33
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$625.64
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,076.67
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.2
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2917.2%5 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-57.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$275.22
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$900
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$442
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$102.16
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+105.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+67%+$401.91
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$498
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$227.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$358.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$488.24
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$60.1
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+286.1%+$57.22
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$178.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.