Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0787d0bcd185fc293051c2c68d2cf56f26f48376ab8f07970435253619402d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $781,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 52,090$28,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,984.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 39,652$18,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,476.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed No | 71c | 35,206$25,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,038.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 26,439$11,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,217.52 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 30c | 23,323$6,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,424.42 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 18,553$12,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,990.49 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…bba1backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 28c | 14,537$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,466.97 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 0c | 11,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 9,706$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.37 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Yes | 28c | 7,071$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.43 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…b2f6backed Yes | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…9cf6backed No | 6c | 6,400$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 31c | 5,650$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.83 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 5,602$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 28c | 5,482$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 39c | 4,997$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.84 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…b282backed Yes | 29c | 4,811$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 72c | 4,799$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 32c | 4,707$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.5 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 28c | 4,376$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.9 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 8c | 4,283$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.63 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 30c | 4,197$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.67 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 28c | 4,143$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…0e3cbacked Yes | 30c | 4,090$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 31c | 3,899$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.11 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 32c | 3,750$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 70c | 3,718$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.44 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…f046backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…0333backed Yes | 31c | 3,219$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 31c | 3,200$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 70c | 3,173$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.43 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.02 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Yes | 31c | 2,921$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 2,881$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.49 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 28c | 2,821$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 31c | 2,597$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 73c | 2,576$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.25 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 2,388$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 70c | 2,228$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.67 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 31c | 1,944$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.89 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.48 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 31c | 1,900$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,804$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.96 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 74c | 1,776$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.34 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…7763backed Yes | 28c | 1,759$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…c7dabacked Yes | 29c | 1,740$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 49c | 1,720$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.8 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 30c | 1,678$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.44 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 71c | 1,506$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.33 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 1,464$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.36 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 49c | 1,458$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.82 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Yes | 31c | 1,390$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 1,304$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.06 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…1c59backed Yes | 29c | 1,185$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d323backed No | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 30c | 1,107$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.67 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked No | 70c | 1,082$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 1,002$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.3 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…7cf5backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 31c | 999.87$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.91 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 30c | 986.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.77 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed No | 70c | 876.9$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 871.3$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.05 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2274…988ebacked Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 32c | 859.38$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.38 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 29c | 843.4$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 30c | 842.52$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 48c | 840.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.51 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbe…77a0backed Yes | 30c | 834.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 70c | 785.71$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 29c | 758.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4532…e2a7backed Yes | 28c | 758.04$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…4936backed Yes | 27c | 725.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…2d56backed No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 30c | 681.79$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.71 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 73c | 679.99$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed No | 70c | 671.43$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 667.75$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.63 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 30c | 664.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.88 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…3c08backed Yes | 28c | 663.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.64 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…715dbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 31c | 594.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.37 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.