TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fcc…c7da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$627.22
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$97.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$272.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,312.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$485.29
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$188.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$181.03
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,618.77
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$148.57
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$651.58
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Russia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$117.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.