TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,099 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over70c16,260$11,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,910.6813245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c9,836$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0391,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c8,792$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.531,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over69c6,723$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.8826047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9928543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c4,237$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.5859441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under30c3,999$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.826952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over70c3,355$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.0429350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under30c2,890$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8675433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.93764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0d…3f04backed Under30c1,833$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under30c1,438$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.132825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over71c1,400$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4032373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c838.67$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcc…c7dabacked Under31c808.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9cb…5f9fbacked Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over67c699.97$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9920655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under32c676.23$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3215038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Under11c600$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over71c561$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6910164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under27c558.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2941238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over69c537.46$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.282356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503850%19 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over71c500$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.12462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Under30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over69c499.99$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1534628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over66c460$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over72c433.33$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3313261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over69c429.9$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6710566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under29c420.69$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12213134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd691…0c27backed Over69c411.91$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.691625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12413349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under26c338.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.439443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over71c331.88$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.882755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8425659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9622647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over70c285$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.55358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Under29c222.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.561414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over69c221.74$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.746262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c221.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2448947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over72c220$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.64665.2%30 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5820667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5711750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over69c185.71$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.571573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c174.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3563150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under28c170.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.665927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under31c161.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6720643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over69c150.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7210049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under27c146.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9260648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.937245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e6…d79fbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over72c138.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.937266.7%48 W · 24 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1849…8916backed Over72c138$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over70c137.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.781540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under30c131.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.593231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under29c127.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3740250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over71c115.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6617560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Over73c105.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.481764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Over72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3111360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…8151backed Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bce…a18cbacked Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over71c98.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5512935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0e3…e051backed Under29c98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…f195backed Over72c97.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…89a9backed Under33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under29c80.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8129445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Under32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Over68c77.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Over70c73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under30c73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.683946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under29c69.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.175738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over77c65.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.139058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over71c57.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5826445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3416553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d1…5557backed Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3410465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.566065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x450e…c1dfbacked Over71c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.258862.5%55 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610658.5%62 W · 44 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Over68c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538f…c871backed Over71c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under23c43.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0312352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…6e9dbacked Over69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f60…257cbacked Over70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over69c42.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.183366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.257166.2%47 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a08…d02abacked Over72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Over72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over70c41.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2523637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.