Champions League · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b13b5666df181ec40eb4f81b83fb5d29c74f191ab4fb0972eaa11262c97e5d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $977,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $977,578 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Under | 51c | 146,144$75,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,072.02 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 142,040$69,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,951.2 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 53c | 135,998$72,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,079.13 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 116,090$55,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,659.96 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Under | 51c | 59,999$30,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,699.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Over | 47c | 53,170$24,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,180.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 49,998$25,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,998.84 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Over | 47c | 31,915$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,914.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 51c | 31,652$16,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,059.08 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 20,737$9,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,783.29 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 52c | 17,054$8,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,868 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Over | 48c | 15,960$7,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,353.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 14,555$7,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452.49 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 53c | 10,673$5,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,656.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…accbbacked Under | 0c | 10,049$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.97 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 8,700$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Over | 48c | 7,021$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 6,583$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.93 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 53c | 6,095$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 49c | 5,772$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…3478backed Over | 49c | 5,714$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Under | 1c | 5,222$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 5,200$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 4,909$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.16 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 49c | 4,500$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 4,121$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.24 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 50c | 3,864$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.12 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,682$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.61 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 46c | 2,155$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Over | 47c | 2,030$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,948$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.51 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 52c | 1,935$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.55 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 1,856$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.5 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Under | 5c | 1,853$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 48c | 1,800$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,368$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.33 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Under | 15c | 1,200$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 1,119$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.88 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 48c | 999.88$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.94 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 12c | 984.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 43c | 960.74$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.18 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 956.19$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.83 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 47c | 882.13$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 34c | 728$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.33 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa73…96cabacked Under | 50c | 699.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e2…a56ebacked Over | 49c | 690$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Under | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…96a7backed Under | 52c | 670$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 48c | 669$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 62c | 649.98$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…a0f1backed Under | 52c | 640$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…e9fabacked Over | 49c | 620$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Over | 49c | 610.41$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Over | 50c | 600.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 595.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 54c | 575.93$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 571.11$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 52c | 512.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 48c | 499.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 50c | 499$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 51c | 489.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 62c | 486.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 49c | 465.78$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.86 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.