TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$977,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $977,578 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Under51c146,144$75,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,072.022330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c142,040$69,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,951.21,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under53c135,998$72,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,079.132937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c116,090$55,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,659.966657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Under51c59,999$30,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,699.452142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Over47c53,170$24,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,180.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,499.932360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c49,998$25,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,998.843641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over47c31,915$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,914.892030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under51c31,652$16,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,059.083633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c20,737$9,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,783.294641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under52c17,054$8,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8681540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Over48c15,960$7,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,353.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c14,555$7,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,452.4926047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over47c12,000$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3601546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under53c10,673$5,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,656.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb05…accbbacked Under0c10,049$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.9728543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c8,700$4,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,43138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over48c7,021$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.831450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over47c6,583$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.9313245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under53c6,095$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,230.151346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c5,772$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.242552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c8…3478backed Over49c5,714$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under1c5,222$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.221464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+172.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over48c5,200$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7165248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under18c4,909$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.1642438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over49c4,500$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.992540%10 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c4,121$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.2429746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c3,864$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.1226645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7852951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.224951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c2,682$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.611,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over49c2,400$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2243043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over46c2,155$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f85…7eeebacked Over47c2,030$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06010232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,948$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.512825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over52c1,935$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.5520643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over49c1,856$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.513246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Under5c1,853$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.661631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over48c1,800$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9313956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over47c1,700$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.368241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1490%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c1,368$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.3346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under15c1,200$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c1,119$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.8850247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.831931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.47145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over49c1,018$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.051241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over48c999.88$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.945350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under12c984.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.141225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under43c960.74$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.186536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under52c956.19$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.835453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over47c882.13$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.533551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.338132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40811152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c729$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0815349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under34c728$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.73531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over48c708.33$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3328639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35013349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa73…96cabacked Under50c699.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84e2…a56ebacked Over49c690$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Under52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd1…96a7backed Under52c670$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+50.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over48c669$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.882352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over62c649.98$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9044…a0f1backed Under52c640$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.33345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.929748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ef…e9fabacked Over49c620$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Over49c610.41$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Over50c600.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.24445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c595.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.743164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Under54c575.93$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c571.11$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7613453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4810256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.915339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under52c512.98$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25514447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over49c500$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.540350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over48c499.93$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.968038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over50c499$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.512935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.23158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under51c489.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.895927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over62c486.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.63672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over49c465.78$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8611650%58 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.