TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,634 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d5c…4302backed Under72c19,134$13,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,844.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over28c14,239$3,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,296.6326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under24c6,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under15c5,644$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.3841238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c5,072$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.321,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under7c4,995$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.192035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under72c4,167$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5346…d276backed Under71c4,020$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c3,402$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.6926445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under30c2,576$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.4543333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c2,184$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.951,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under70c1,958$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.0413245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Under6c1,561$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.681631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over56c1,502$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.9310742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over77c1,493$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.321163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0dd0…49d8backed Under71c1,301$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.711050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over29c1,107$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.582825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over79c1,095$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.59666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under44c1,073$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3321037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under8c998.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.923956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c969.41$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.5623637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over29c856.8$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.3248947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under71c768$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.8829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over46c723.69$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.2921460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under73c710.33$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.751656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over31c700$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over30c620.69$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5515038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Over29c620.69$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over76c599.97$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.994276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9d4…e1d2backed Over60c599.21$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over30c589.9$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.596628.8%19 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over79c569.62$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.623672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.565339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over48c521.69$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under39c501.22$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4115936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under10c475$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.55630.4%17 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c4b…839fbacked Under54c459.63$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Under44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over30c432.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3912935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Under18c427.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Under72c421.31$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under6c405$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28814645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2842373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb05…accbbacked Under9c362.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under49c361.43$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2659136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over29c348.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.224548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e55…d06cbacked Under72c347.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under23c337$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.514555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over78c286.71$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.086858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004165.9%27 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over28c267.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.751040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under62c266.82$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.431233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under70c266.76$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7325659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over30c266.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.664632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c257.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8637753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over78c257.49$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.652045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf4…50bbbacked Over77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under8c244.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd7e…cd92backed Under71c240$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under72c233.35$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.172853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over29c212.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.222025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Under72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ca…f67abacked Under73c201.85$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.79366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206761.2%41 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under71c191.93$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.274252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over28c187.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7863150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c182.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9124245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x055a…b50ebacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under10c172.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under78c166.55$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over30c165.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1620655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2910339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over29c158.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6210049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a6…d522backed Under71c148.7$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.58366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ad…7823backed Under19c144$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6769backed Over31c141$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Under24c137.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under48c126$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.426744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde95…b97fbacked Under8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over41c122.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.314934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Over40c120.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over31c111.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3113246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under24c108.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e7a…fa0bbacked Under36c105.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over28c100.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.113453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Under73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08e5…3c0abacked Under71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0198…ee60backed Under72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over29c97.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.462055%11 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under46c97.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.889749.5%48 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under44c95.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.420643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over62c91.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.936056.7%34 W · 26 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x270c…f377backed Under40c89.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.