TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde95…b97f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$13.05
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.6%+$185.76
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.1%+$8.61
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.76
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.1
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$13.67
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$14.21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$37.98
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$53.56
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.46
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$8.32
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$31.92
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+196.5%+$123.81
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+70.5%+$35.94
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+106.2%+$21.24
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+233.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexicobacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.8%+$29.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.