TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CF Cruz Azulof CF Cruz Azul, Atlético San Luis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,363 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed CF Cruz Azul46c197,865$90,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,579.6329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Atlético San Luis55c128,932$70,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,302.624544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Atlético San Luis54c28,698$15,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,564.9923354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlético San Luis55c23,250$12,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,688.898,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CF Cruz Azul45c21,787$9,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,879.3337851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Atlético San Luis55c10,000$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,46016543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Atlético San Luis54c9,000$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8208153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Atlético San Luis54c5,375$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.294845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Atlético San Luis55c4,674$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.411,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Atlético San Luis54c2,682$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.286055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Atlético San Luis54c2,312$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.013,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Atlético San Luis54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6402268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Atlético San Luis30c1,056$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.615424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Atlético San Luis53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3184953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed CF Cruz Azul46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0411245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Atlético San Luis54c390.46$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.367450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Atlético San Luis54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed CF Cruz Azul46c341.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0711155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Atlético San Luis55c274.2$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8123542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Atlético San Luis56c144$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.281050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Atlético San Luis55c129.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.176842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked CF Cruz Azul47c127.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.69333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Atlético San Luis54c125$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.81,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Atlético San Luis54c124.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.491,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Atlético San Luis54c124.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.212,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed CF Cruz Azul47c123.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked CF Cruz Azul45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1131745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Atlético San Luis55c110.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7727053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c47…e9bebacked Atlético San Luis56c96.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Atlético San Luis54c92.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlético San Luis39c90.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4572450.6%366 W · 358 L-24.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked CF Cruz Azul61c90.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4521251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Atlético San Luis55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Atlético San Luis55c84.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1920953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Atlético San Luis55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Atlético San Luis54c72.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4835758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Atlético San Luis55c70.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Atlético San Luis55c64.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3813548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Atlético San Luis54c53.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.26061.7%37 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Atlético San Luis54c51.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked CF Cruz Azul44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f4…4ceebacked Atlético San Luis54c43.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Atlético San Luis52c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7444…3c05backed CF Cruz Azul47c38.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312b…d798backed Atlético San Luis53c37.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde95…b97fbacked Atlético San Luis54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+233.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a92…0011backed CF Cruz Azul47c36.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd835…cc7fbacked CF Cruz Azul46c35.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712a…53d2backed Atlético San Luis55c35.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a53…8177backed Atlético San Luis55c35.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4367…5555backed Atlético San Luis55c34.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb687…790abacked Atlético San Luis55c34.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…93b5backed Atlético San Luis54c33.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb36…5487backed CF Cruz Azul46c33.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f5a2backed Atlético San Luis54c32.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…bf42backed CF Cruz Azul46c31.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece6…531abacked Atlético San Luis53c31.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Atlético San Luis53c29.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.589759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf093…ad32backed CF Cruz Azul46c29.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2277…ec13backed CF Cruz Azul47c28.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Atlético San Luis54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Atlético San Luis54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f3…e56fbacked Atlético San Luis55c27.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed CF Cruz Azul41c27.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0113050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Atlético San Luis55c26.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.616056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Atlético San Luis55c26.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.619162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa757…5720backed CF Cruz Azul48c26.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked CF Cruz Azul45c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec88…2c91backed CF Cruz Azul46c25.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf87…89cfbacked CF Cruz Azul46c25.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc4…9d27backed Atlético San Luis55c23.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Atlético San Luis54c23.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7650746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9047…92e9backed CF Cruz Azul48c22.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0aa…612cbacked CF Cruz Azul46c21.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Atlético San Luis57c21.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.998655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88dc…30cbbacked CF Cruz Azul48c20.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d88…0600backed Atlético San Luis54c20.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2c…918bbacked Atlético San Luis54c19.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Atlético San Luis55c18.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.183450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.