TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$376,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,969 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c88,574$31,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,993.872,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No70c47,187$33,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,249.8519253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed No71c36,005$25,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,703.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No72c35,616$25,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,531.183557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c29,192$11,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,057.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes29c20,383$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,382.982532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c13,223$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,425.092,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No71c13,000$9,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,229.9213444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes28c12,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,579.995442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.6814258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c7,927$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.21,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No63c5,474$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.1461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c5,117$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.444,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.87548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No71c4,700$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3373063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9204862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No73c3,608$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.614748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes28c3,521$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.2711942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c3,481$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.021,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No73c3,425$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c3,303$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.7825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes28c3,143$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.8612532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes56c2,666$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.0169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No70c2,114$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9712949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4808043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4203557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No44c1,839$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.3246943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes28c1,800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2962441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes29c1,610$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.1234628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08010951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0504052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No34c1,490$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes32c1,470$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.0522458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c1,442$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.8272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No70c1,428$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.61855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes27c1,296$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.325225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes27c1,261$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.2824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No70c1,223$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.416651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c1,222$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.562,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No35c1,211$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7313327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes35c1,200$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.5582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No17c1,120$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.386134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No72c1,103$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.2116050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes44c1,084$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.871,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes29c1,029$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.917557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No72c999.99$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.999451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No28c984.16$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7410253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes68c951.63$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.636136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c935.9$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes42c893.27$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.154369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c830.31$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No2c799.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c769.8$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.861,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c754.48$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed No72c750$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…8c87backed Yes71c704.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed No72c700$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No12c625.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4515740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2678…cef5backed Yes27c602.87$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+153.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No71c582$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2212454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes27c560$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.716944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No70c502$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No74c490.54$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes27c459.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6618239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c449$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes67c443.83$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.462277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No11c436.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes63c435.34$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.688062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3cc…00a4backed Yes27c428.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c4b…2b64backed Yes27c418.66$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…1f0cbacked Yes27c412.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…0e49backed No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815a…c0bdbacked Yes27c386.21$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+123.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes30c366.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.679451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1287…deacbacked Yes27c365.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+185.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes43c348$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4125052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No71c344.82$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.827851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c331.22$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.311,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No71c330.23$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2120758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No74c324.32$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24013552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2197647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No16c286.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2911450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No73c280$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.430059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes29c240$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.42825%7 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c238$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.91,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes62c213$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.897227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7053…887abacked No74c211.27$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+233.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes28c210.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.699828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffb…2d43backed No74c210.58$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed No70c206.67$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.671428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No25c201.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa132…eebdbacked Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.