TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1287…deac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$111.2
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$69.28
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$95.72
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$167.99
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.17
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.43
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$55.13
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.57
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.52
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$73.24
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.51
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Georgia State Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+185.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+270.4%+$266.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$17.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$76.73
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$39.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$34.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.