TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,941,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,981,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,941,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0222…8ff7backed Yes44c1,625,004$712,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712,162.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No56c668,363$371,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296,459.81560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No56c238,138$134,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,649.529159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No57c160,942$91,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,764.982850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No57c87,980$50,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,926.611338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c77,021$43,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,203.5462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No57c61,390$35,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,134.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c49,416$29,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,161.171,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c49,277$28,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,008.4852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes42c40,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.943756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No56c34,350$19,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,114771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes42c32,210$13,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,528.2316644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c31,845$18,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,714.7471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked No38c26,473$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,472.521040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c26,463$15,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,393.6987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No55c25,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2502540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No59c20,660$12,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,470.62642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No58c20,453$11,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,590.252737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No57c17,402$9,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,482.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No56c15,800$8,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9523148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No55c13,398$7,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.1821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No56c10,566$5,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.9815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed No58c8,170$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+87%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No58c8,026$4,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.012842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4406553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5205156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No57c7,800$4,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3544551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No57c7,170$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No58c7,118$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.865040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c5,037$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,080.748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No57c3,818$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.741478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No58c3,466$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No60c3,000$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1903240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.581888.9%16 W · 2 L+7.1wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+94.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xb989…9908backed Yes40c2,218$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No56c2,092$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.54966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.997549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No57c1,904$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No56c1,874$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.359553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes34c1,862$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.191442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3919055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No79c1,691$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.052334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No60c1,660$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6642157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No59c1,608$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.475757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes65c1,537$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6304751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes61c1,282$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7879447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes52c1,169$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.741,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No57c1,104$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.722147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes40c1,053$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.24841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Yes51c999.97$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3872245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c777.5$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31123250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes66c760.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4507741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No48c696.21$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.212832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No73c630$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.18066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No39c537$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4711070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No38c533.07$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3313246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes76c526.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes40c510.15$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0610838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30511916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed No61c459.02$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.021369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No58c411.44$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.773860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c364.55$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed No57c360.71$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No57c359.86$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.333053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No74c350$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes37c348.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed No30c338.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8650…58fdbacked Yes40c325$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No57c303$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.291850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-58.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No42c284.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.064254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f3…7ab6backed Yes10c279.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No57c272.34$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8835037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed No37c263$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes11c260$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.61040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No60c256.97$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3624052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked No57c256.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7518847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes39c248.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.985745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No48c238.13$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.757766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No54c231.56$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.983868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed No57c229.23$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.053748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes33c227.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2326346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No57c224$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.210948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes34c219$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.973644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.