TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1660…5598backed No71c5,556$3,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.923767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No63c1,700$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6292334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes37c1,700$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6294170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes30c1,417$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4253138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes2c1,400$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5920232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes29c1,398$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.4237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c1,334$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.5771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c1,281$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.472832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c1,235$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c1,187$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.5426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes14c939.73$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.121143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c803.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.571,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes20c735$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf4…1a2ebacked Yes6c727.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c625$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed Yes20c508.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes54c500$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes19c490.58$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2124052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c456.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.251,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes29c440.21$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No74c399.45$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2213246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes38c391.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.172445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes29c337.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes31c322.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes30c298.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.311926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No70c294$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.24163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No62c229.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.241172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c213$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No69c211.7$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.483860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No45c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.518847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed No69c162.8$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.473348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ce…5310backed Yes33c122.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Yes13c105.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No56c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.415343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c94.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes24c84.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes21c83.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.399535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c1…0101backed Yes21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c76.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No69c74.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.259752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No67c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.765261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No70c71.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.423360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes30c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0946450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes26c60.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4917817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228c…0fb0backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No73c55.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f81…2a7bbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked No72c51.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2b…4c15backed Yes31c44.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No69c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6410960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda36…0a9cbacked Yes31c42.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3de…3842backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7943…29b4backed Yes30c40.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No44c39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8424642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes36c38.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes51c37.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9722854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3f…8cd6backed No49c35.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes33c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.483644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb8c…465bbacked Yes30c34.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes30c33.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5949…c8f3backed Yes31c32.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe674…d632backed Yes32c31.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4030…8b5ebacked No70c20.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No75c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af8…4711backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…e20cbacked No71c19.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.711450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd121…101abacked No70c19.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd593…4374backed No70c19.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…71adbacked No70c19.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.77955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked No79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.992166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No72c18.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1217251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2c…b875backed No71c16.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817f…b97cbacked No70c16.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb578…ea1abacked No71c15.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.571353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2346…48d0backed No71c14.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.