TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No75c15,302$11,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,540.111,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed No11c12,102$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes10c9,197$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,257.1921143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c9,124$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.541,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No21c7,110$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.466942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c5,731$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,99071140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c5,050$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.4210521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.99728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes28c4,715$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.82850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No72c3,835$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.843256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes49c3,459$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.3515071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No16c3,121$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.942759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No27c3,021$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.233040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No65c2,621$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.262360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No70c2,419$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.3314346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.983240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c1,888$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.0752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c1,816$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.0162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes73c1,626$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c1,585$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.917329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c1,361$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.3824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c1,314$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes28c1,016$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.336141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes80c1,004$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes77c984.65$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.197741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked No53c800$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes22c786.65$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.645330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No61c753$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c750$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70511916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No70c725.14$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No37c686.85$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.792832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes61c500$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes10c500$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+199.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No33c499.78$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.931315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes19c450$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No48c432.2$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.66955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Yes59c401.17$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c372.59$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes28c346.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed No73c342.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked No22c336.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes73c336.15$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7613246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…adbdbacked No69c335.12$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No7c282.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9120232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes71c277.22$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes48c258.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.685255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No71c242.08$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.933860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c233.74$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes68c209.68$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14227049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed No56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No71c199.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.985745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb8…ebd0backed Yes74c192.23$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes29c168.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed No57c163.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.933132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d06…3b3ebacked Yes63c158.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No57c158.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No76c153.53$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked Yes8c150$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes26c149.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.994050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No70c142.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No22c139.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes63c129.83$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…f417backed Yes8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecd5…7330backed Yes80c124.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes75c123.27$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.84062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c118.78$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No41c116$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.15343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No43c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.113644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes49c103.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes29c100.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.612835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+190.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f0…25aebacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes59c98.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked No44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes79c86.87$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes52c85.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.624667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No31c83.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.749535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No70c82.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.384537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked Yes50c79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No55c78.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.031855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf273…9770backed Yes64c78.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No75c75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2516242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.