TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67aa…b88c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,643.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$170.2
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$126
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$42
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$105
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$79.5
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$142
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$60
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+32.6%+$123
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+300.8%+$150.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.