Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4463d509ea3a186d4034b82ffae5039a96fa46342b982c9bfb25bd0ff3dbb9dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 27c | 39,999$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,199.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 29,191$21,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,183 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 25,200$18,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,140.77 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…5a2cbacked Yes | 31c | 15,000$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,353.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 8,161$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.29 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 5,526$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.25 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,224$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.44 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 28c | 4,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.09 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 64c | 3,534$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.56 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,427$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.35 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,652$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.44 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 5c | 2,215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 29c | 1,999$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.3 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 73c | 1,802$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.43 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 68c | 1,723$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.95 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 1,571$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.14 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ce…2e71backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,252$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…2111backed Yes | 68c | 1,249$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,225$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.89 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Yes | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 22c | 999.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.36 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 18c | 966.56$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 16c | 857.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 25c | 833$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2565…835fbacked Yes | 30c | 824.84$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 746.74$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.92 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 73c | 644.06$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 28c | 365.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 29c | 339.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 69c | 308$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 25c | 249.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 74c | 236.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…3e72backed Yes | 26c | 209.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…2e33backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 29c | 199.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…c1c5backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 167.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 27c | 155.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…27e5backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…659ebacked Yes | 27c | 151.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…552dbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…fcccbacked Yes | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 23c | 129.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 123.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Yes | 26c | 114.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 104.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…8b84backed No | 75c | 101.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2a…c016backed Yes | 25c | 100.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…ba27backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…577dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…9159backed Yes | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b5bebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…fa68backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 48c | 74.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…d315backed Yes | 27c | 74.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…1054backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes | 26c | 71.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…f7bdbacked Yes | 26c | 57.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…4c34backed Yes | 27c | 55.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…83a0backed No | 37c | 54.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Yes | 27c | 46.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…1335backed Yes | 38c | 44.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 26c | 44.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Yes | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…2cb2backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…fe72backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Yes | 30c | 39.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 31c | 34.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.