Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb64f96119793960339f7b86d0b1500432206173f34e74f0d63b252e5ff188f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,788,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,752,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,788,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 998 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 327,474$173,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,084.91 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 53c | 286,981$152,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,881.3 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 47c | 237,815$111,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,384.22 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 54c | 161,699$87,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,381.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes | 45c | 116,353$52,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,358.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 103,389$52,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,722.07 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 51c | 99,189$51,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,106.88 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…ae68backed Yes | 51c | 95,465$48,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,344.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 47c | 83,161$39,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,052.33 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 48c | 62,783$29,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,935.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Yes | 48c | 62,175$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 47c | 62,127$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,199.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 53c | 60,045$31,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,221.27 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 55,165$26,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,431.3 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…5a2cbacked Yes | 50c | 52,415$26,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,440 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes | 43c | 52,201$22,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,682.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…6471backed Yes | 49c | 50,000$24,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,419.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 43,079$22,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,678.05 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 47c | 36,596$17,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,365.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 48c | 33,187$16,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,081.83 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 32,482$16,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,705.41 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…de17backed Yes | 47c | 31,902$14,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,993.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…9aa9backed Yes | 60c | 26,987$16,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,206.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 52c | 22,943$11,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,071.15 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 58c | 20,486$11,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,514.9 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000.13 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 70c | 18,318$12,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,822.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 17,568$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.26 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 50c | 17,100$8,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,511.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 54c | 14,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.99 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 52c | 13,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.97 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 12,988$6,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,224.68 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 52c | 12,323$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,892.04 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 52c | 10,861$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,265.2 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 46c | 10,845$4,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,988.87 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.97 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 10,000$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.96 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 48c | 9,999$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.68 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 52c | 9,294$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.21 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 45c | 9,201$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.54 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Yes | 49c | 8,176$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…f674backed Yes | 47c | 8,085$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…e3a5backed No | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 46c | 7,757$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 47c | 7,738$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 57c | 7,485$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.58 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 39c | 6,930$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.02 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 52c | 6,689$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.03 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…acc1backed Yes | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 41c | 5,861$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.35 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 52c | 5,251$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 48c | 4,923$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.61 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 54c | 4,636$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.29 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Yes | 71c | 4,405$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.56 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 54c | 4,400$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.99 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 52c | 4,373$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.84 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 49c | 4,334$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.95 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe989…ed95backed Yes | 45c | 4,220$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 52c | 4,108$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.68 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 45c | 3,876$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.17 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 3,600$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 68c | 3,462$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.63 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 35c | 3,433$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 3,373$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.14 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked Yes | 48c | 3,296$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 47c | 3,091$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.55 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 46c | 3,013$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 51c | 2,953$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ce…2e71backed Yes | 24c | 2,949$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 46c | 2,838$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.52 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 52c | 2,753$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.09 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 48c | 2,594$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Yes | 46c | 2,302$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,200$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 45c | 2,159$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 47c | 2,127$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 66c | 2,105$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.19 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…f997backed Yes | 48c | 2,081$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Yes | 47c | 2,022$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 29c | 2,013$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.56 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 47c | 2,001$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…d256backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.97 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.