TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64b5…7543backed Yes27c7,696$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.8611838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes10c7,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.8211029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No33c4,528$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.8429253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No74c4,376$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.8128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked No73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01518123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No37c3,244$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c2,550$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed No73c2,291$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.834456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes27c2,263$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.037256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57af…1a28backed Yes67c2,244$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.661250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes65c2,214$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.141437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Yes28c1,936$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.031154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes3c1,724$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7219743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8138…3c88backed Yes67c1,686$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedff…7218backed Yes11c1,633$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c1,463$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.011,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes27c1,456$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47af…799bbacked No72c1,385$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c4…f3cdbacked Yes29c1,285$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…76dfbacked Yes28c1,260$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,246$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c1,200$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.134,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes13c1,087$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7513727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Yes62c1,070$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.342839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No72c1,023$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4121353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa4…69cdbacked No72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9496…7454backed Yes27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes26c999.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes27c885.29$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3431655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No73c847.88$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.935246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf475…8c9ebacked No73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed No73c782.92$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed No73c777$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.796246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed No73c753$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.311361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No73c752.95$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.33063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed No41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.715745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes28c714.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.083336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c700.1$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x199a…f436backed No72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No68c617.15$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2541344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No73c599.99$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6a…65e1backed Yes28c587$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes28c570.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.85240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes52c563$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5427235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked No72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.562045%9 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No37c549.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3483724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No73c548.41$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.073873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+48.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes28c516.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6840046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ad…e1e5backed No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…5c0abacked Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6003…e0f8backed Yes59c499.59$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes28c496.43$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c495.37$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.121,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbd…ceeabacked No73c494.52$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.521040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Yes59c458.64$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes29c425.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.318929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Yes27c422.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes28c421$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.889263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe478…610ebacked Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3290%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes28c391.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.863246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x268c…a03abacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3b…3ebfbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfba8…500abacked No41c350$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes27c332.42$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7526229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes28c314.29$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No74c309.46$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4613342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes28c299.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8b…b5c6backed No74c280.62$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…7b43backed Yes28c277.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No73c275.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.183076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.978448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed No73c264.86$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.514242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Yes38c263$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes21c259.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes28c245.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6813543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No73c240$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…362cbacked Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x535a…8b84backed No73c206.88$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.182944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes26c197.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2546651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x029d…552dbacked Yes30c195$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed Yes36c188.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.26729.9%20 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No73c183.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5619259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes27c182.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.