TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6ef…e2c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$732.35
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$18.31
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.62
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$18
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.77
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$52.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$86.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$250.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+270.7%+$216.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29.77
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$658.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125.22
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$31.8
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$71.51
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.74
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.42
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$45.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$40.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$316.45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$363.06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+112.7%+$49.34
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100.79
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$311.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$92.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56%+$14.01
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$79.18
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$3.94
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$58.64
Will PSG beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$19.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.96
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+89.1%+$79.23
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team Recrent (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Abacked Team Recrent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$6.54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Banger Gang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$34.86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$52.69
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$58.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$202
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$198.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$538.3
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$147.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$35.84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$40.38
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60.98
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.57
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.73
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$25.14
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.91
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+139.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.39
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$65.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$87.67
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Rakhmonov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+29%+$58.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+65.8%+$56.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$5.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$42.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.