TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof B8, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$520,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$579,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Alliance37c30,000$11,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,916.7875452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Alliance37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.9416344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance36c18,327$6,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,666.775,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed B863c17,000$10,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,709.9723839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked Alliance37c14,500$5,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,134.975742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed B820c13,040$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,652.6751842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b38…1dccbacked Alliance37c12,848$4,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,093.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+76.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed B863c12,636$7,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,917.0733343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked B863c9,500$6,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,01036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Alliance37c9,472$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,967.3536645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked B862c9,179$5,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,678.8175758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed B862c9,000$5,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,58033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Alliance37c8,581$3,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.653743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Alliance37c8,281$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.3436152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed B863c8,158$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,139.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked B863c7,856$4,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,946.7916448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alliance48c7,364$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.651,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked B863c7,143$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked B864c7,055$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.6292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Alliance50c6,712$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.331,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ff…b983backed B863c6,482$4,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,089.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed B858c6,461$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.5637346.4%173 W · 200 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x047f…bf3abacked B863c5,880$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.841833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed B863c5,829$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,672.565346.9%306 W · 347 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance37c5,700$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.9984658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alliance36c5,691$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.252,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Alliance44c5,624$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.9917554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance35c5,506$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,578.9166551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Alliance42c5,479$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.373,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Alliance36c5,440$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,457.1413244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Alliance51c5,263$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.812,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Alliance37c5,209$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.879148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked B864c5,001$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.471,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed B863c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1509450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked B862c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked B835c4,733$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.8366446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B833c4,714$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Alliance38c4,554$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.218556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe916…7e93backed B854c4,329$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.853636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance57c4,265$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.44,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance78c4,108$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.977,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alliance38c4,024$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.212,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Alliance38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed B843c4,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70020562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Alliance38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.9978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9659…a4acbacked B865c3,978$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.631010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-82.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed B863c3,878$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.888540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance50c3,844$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.372,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed B864c3,843$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.173438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked B819c3,754$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.0840137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe14a…9917backed B863c3,683$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5866…b045backed B864c3,595$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked B863c3,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Alliance46c3,353$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.617249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Alliance37c3,296$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.486144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Alliance35c3,231$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.292857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked B851c3,112$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.161,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed B864c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed B859c2,872$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.422,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…2014backed B863c2,713$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.294242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Alliance37c2,700$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.7938841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked B865c2,678$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.049549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0e…bd73backed B862c2,586$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.114944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Alliance38c2,581$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.0621424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Alliance39c2,568$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.4829449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked B825c2,546$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.881,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed B833c2,401$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.11,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked B865c2,400$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed B863c2,250$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.513550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Alliance42c2,151$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.0114839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Alliance38c2,124$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.8961047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Alliance37c2,117$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.6723848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked B862c2,089$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.9622241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked B863c2,063$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.1927753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b68…08bbbacked B863c2,054$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed B81c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked B848c1,903$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.742,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Alliance38c1,700$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0541,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Alliance35c1,677$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.314846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Alliance38c1,616$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.9214847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…6d26backed B862c1,532$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.891560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked B863c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9457436.5%27 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed B864c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed B863c1,438$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9009158.2%53 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed B863c1,429$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Alliance36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8859055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked B849c1,350$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed B832c1,340$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5312651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B840c1,297$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.535,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed B863c1,276$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.8915264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ae…e127backed Alliance38c1,275$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.231090%9 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick63cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked B82c1,273$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1416311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed B864c1,271$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.746143.4%200 W · 261 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked B863c1,270$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80075145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed B863c1,270$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed B863c1,262$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Alliance37c1,235$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.054850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed B810c1,231$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2727831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Alliance80c1,221$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a92…6643backed B862c1,210$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.