TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x219e…6d26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,650
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.89
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$52.07
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$119.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$831.49
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.07
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,920.02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,053
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.43
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$741.08
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,820
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$776.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$520
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+73.3%+$507.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$752
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$167.4
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$592
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$540
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.07
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$96
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$54.9
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$36.96
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$98.12
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$1,971.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.