College Football · resolved market
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d88ad7978d1c74e4483d95db9f4f0715dd616d66e3f6728eb478790b58bd73d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Stateof Arkansas State, Appalachian State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas State | 44c | 15,425$6,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,636.85 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Appalachian State | 53c | 13,692$7,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,239.68 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Appalachian State | 50c | 9,296$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arkansas State | 52c | 9,051$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.47 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arkansas State | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State | 48c | 4,662$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.64 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Appalachian State | 49c | 4,198$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.02 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Arkansas State | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Appalachian State | 49c | 2,939$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.15 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas State | 47c | 2,872$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.04 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…a12fbacked Arkansas State | 50c | 2,680$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Appalachian State | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…e73ebacked Appalachian State | 51c | 2,471$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Arkansas State | 49c | 2,172$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.99 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Appalachian State | 75c | 2,010$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Appalachian State | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Appalachian State | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.37 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Appalachian State | 6c | 1,856$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Appalachian State | 50c | 1,654$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.76 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Appalachian State | 52c | 1,642$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.84 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Appalachian State | 51c | 1,330$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.78 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Appalachian State | 48c | 1,094$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.95 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Appalachian State | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…d5a6backed Arkansas State | 53c | 992.24$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arkansas State | 50c | 975$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.3 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas State | 44c | 969.36$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.65 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Appalachian State | 51c | 818.81$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.59 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas State | 31c | 794.24$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.35 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Appalachian State | 51c | 792.16$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arkansas State | 49c | 751.08$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.39 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas State | 29c | 730.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.4 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Appalachian State | 77c | 634.52$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.79 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Appalachian State | 49c | 629.96$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.68 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Arkansas State | 51c | 549.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Appalachian State | 65c | 512.48$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Arkansas State | 49c | 478.18$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Arkansas State | 40c | 450.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Arkansas State | 7c | 337.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Appalachian State | 41c | 323.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…dd80backed Arkansas State | 50c | 294.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…da64backed Appalachian State | 51c | 291.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…1df1backed Appalachian State | 78c | 270$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Appalachian State | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Arkansas State | 47c | 235.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Arkansas State | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Appalachian State | 70c | 225.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Appalachian State | 53c | 217.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…85eebacked Arkansas State | 48c | 208.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…a51cbacked Appalachian State | 51c | 207.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Arkansas State | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Appalachian State | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Arkansas State | 49c | 165.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bb…80c0backed Appalachian State | 69c | 149.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Appalachian State | 69c | 144.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas State | 39c | 135$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas State | 79c | 108.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Appalachian State | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arkansas State | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Appalachian State | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…edd5backed Appalachian State | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Appalachian State | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Appalachian State | 18c | 96.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arkansas State | 36c | 91.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…023abacked Appalachian State | 59c | 86.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed Appalachian State | 76c | 77.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Appalachian State | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Arkansas State | 47c | 68.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Arkansas State | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…96dabacked Appalachian State | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Appalachian State | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Arkansas State | 23c | 53.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…9ab1backed Appalachian State | 51c | 50.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…f843backed Arkansas State | 51c | 50.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Arkansas State | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Appalachian State | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Arkansas State | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68b…72b6backed Appalachian State | 51c | 48.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Arkansas State | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Appalachian State | 65c | 46.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…e0ddbacked Arkansas State | 50c | 46.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…9dd5backed Arkansas State | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…1f6ebacked Arkansas State | 51c | 45.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…0003backed Appalachian State | 50c | 45.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Arkansas State | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f04…f036backed Arkansas State | 51c | 44.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…255dbacked Appalachian State | 50c | 43.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…e4a4backed Arkansas State | 50c | 41.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed Appalachian State | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb247…bb09backed Appalachian State | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a33…ecd8backed Arkansas State | 50c | 39.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Arkansas State | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed Appalachian State | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…9133backed Arkansas State | 47c | 37.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…4fb6backed Appalachian State | 50c | 35.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d3…bd47backed Appalachian State | 50c | 35.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…7545backed Arkansas State | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…912fbacked Arkansas State | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…64f7backed Arkansas State | 51c | 31.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…e5cabacked Appalachian State | 66c | 30.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…5229backed Appalachian State | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.