TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeab6…82b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST4057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$32.59
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+125.2%+$50.06
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.8%+$44.38
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+105.7%+$84.53
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+40.6%+$221.25
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$308.27
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+83.3%+$49.95
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$26.4
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Maple Leafs vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Oilers vs. Canadiensbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$32.5
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Capitals vs. Jetsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$53.02
Golden Knights vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Dota 2: Heroic vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Dota 2: Passion UA vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+84.5%+$33.82
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+81.6%+$48.96
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+70.3%+$21.1
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$37.29
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Heroic vs Execration (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$35.24
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
All 25 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.29
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kennesaw State vs. Libertybacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+115.3%+$158.55
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colorado vs. Kansas Statebacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.2%+$372.31
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Georgia State vs. Troybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
TCU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyomingbacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Washington State vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+76.5%+$15.3
Louisville vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+73.6%+$32.17
Tulsa vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Leo Team (BO3)backed Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Players vs Procyon Gaming (BO3)backed Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eruption (BO1)backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG (BO3)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Counter-Strike: 500 vs ex-Betera Esports (BO3)backed ex-Betera Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+102%+$20.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs FORZE Reload (BO3)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$11.08
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Counter-Strike: AMKAL ESPORTS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3)backed MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs B8 (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$53.74
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$86.67
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$15.16
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+68.7%+$27.46
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+116.8%+$81.77
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+34.7%+$73.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: KT Rolster vs DRX (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+117.8%+$47.14
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO1)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.