NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bdf39cf22623609f983b6cfff752ee2be5c53b4b2bb386dc022bf323a7bba24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Islanders, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Red Wings | 55c | 90,591$49,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,765.95 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 45c | 46,577$20,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,959.86 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 46c | 37,500$17,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,259.26 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 38c | 33,051$12,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,535.56 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Islanders | 62c | 26,096$16,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,179.37 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Islanders | 45c | 19,860$9,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,009.17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…05c3backed Red Wings | 55c | 17,800$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,010 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Islanders | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings | 55c | 12,455$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.36 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 45c | 12,023$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430.37 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 45c | 10,648$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.87 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Islanders | 47c | 10,557$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.01 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Red Wings | 54c | 8,889$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.86 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Red Wings | 56c | 7,994$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.27 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Islanders | 47c | 7,528$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Red Wings | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Islanders | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 46c | 4,995$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.52 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 44c | 4,777$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.28 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 55c | 4,667$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.71 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Islanders | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Red Wings | 54c | 3,433$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.18 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Islanders | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 50c | 3,401$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.86 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders | 63c | 3,396$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.42 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 45c | 3,342$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.88 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Islanders | 64c | 3,240$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.81 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 45c | 3,194$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.14 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Islanders | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Islanders | 46c | 2,891$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.14 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 2,544$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 53c | 2,527$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.54 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Wings | 53c | 2,444$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.48 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,442$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Islanders | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders | 45c | 1,983$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.35 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Islanders | 47c | 1,957$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,812$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.52 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Islanders | 45c | 1,702$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.1 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 53c | 1,653$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,555$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.47 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,513$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Islanders | 63c | 1,486$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.2 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,420$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.39 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Islanders | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders | 44c | 1,200$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 44c | 1,173$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.91 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59bd…06d2backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,148$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…7180backed Islanders | 47c | 1,128$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,102$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.17 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Islanders | 62c | 1,070$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.21 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,000$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Islanders | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Islanders | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Red Wings | 48c | 894.93$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.37 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 69c | 861.01$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Red Wings | 46c | 837.06$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 52c | 812.09$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.26 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Islanders | 45c | 811$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.95 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Islanders | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Islanders | 46c | 790.94$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Red Wings | 57c | 761.58$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…4d3dbacked Red Wings | 79c | 666.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 49 | 77.6%38 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Islanders | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Red Wings | 55c | 649.09$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Red Wings | 54c | 625$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Red Wings | 55c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Islanders | 46c | 600$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Islanders | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 34c | 592.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Red Wings | 55c | 575$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.95 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Red Wings | 55c | 568.47$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.81 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Red Wings | 56c | 568$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Islanders | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…235bbacked Islanders | 46c | 530$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…2c2abacked Red Wings | 55c | 520$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Red Wings | 55c | 512.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…5041backed Islanders | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Islanders | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 45c | 499.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…7bb4backed Red Wings | 55c | 490$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…2be9backed Red Wings | 55c | 470$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 54c | 461.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Red Wings | 56c | 460$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Red Wings | 58c | 456.67$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.93 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Islanders | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…cb3dbacked Islanders | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Islanders | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Red Wings | 55c | 443.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Islanders | 46c | 436.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…6c22backed Islanders | 47c | 410$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.