TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f5e…ddaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
556
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Olympics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 206 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.2
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
World Championships: Italy vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.51
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.52
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights backed Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$719.98
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators backed Canes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$50
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$312.82
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200.2
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT7632.9%25 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$279.08
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.79
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.2
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$358
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$312
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+1,095.2%+$1,030.47
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$191.08
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.55
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$745
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+396.8%+$1,198.07
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,823Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.5%+$1,051.88
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+196.7%+$753.5
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$380
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.74
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+35.5%+$374.24
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.51
Kai Havertz: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$210
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$304
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,753.66
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.69
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$516.75
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$919.98
Will Marco Rose be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$172
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$626.02
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+788.9%+$2,892.56
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,997
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,567.58
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$1,389.96
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.2
Pedri: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$560
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$415.86
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.92
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+316.8%+$760.1
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003.19
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$378
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540.87
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.21
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,869Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$511.02
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.07
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.09
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will "Hokum" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$1,208.72
Will "The Drama" score at least 77 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 79 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$732.24
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$73.55
Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.85
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.99
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$313.85
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$165.47
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$140.19
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.43
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.59
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+233.1%+$953.51
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$91.53
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.95
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.62
Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$339.98
Madrid: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$35.6
Madrid: Jurij Rodionov vs Sergi Perez Contribacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$21.73
Monza: Andrea Guerrieri vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.1
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Raul Brancacciobacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.16
Wuning: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.74
Mexico City: Bor Artnak vs Alan Magadanbacked Bor Artnak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$429.88
Sarasota: Kei Nishikori vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$479.04
Mexico City: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.45
Campinas: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Facundo Acostabacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Campinas: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Lucio Rattibacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Michael Mmohbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Mexico City: Alex Hernandez vs Karl Polingbacked Karl Poling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Australian Open Men's: Adrian Mannarino vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
Brisbane International: Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$45.12
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.75
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.31
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.02
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.1%+$344.5
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+34.5%+$1,098.01
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+54.6%+$84.8
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$64.85
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+110%+$110
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+125.6%+$251.16
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+96.7%+$193.42
All 20 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-77.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.25
Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)backed CA River Plate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.26
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Club Blooming vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.15
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
CD Cuenca vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.4
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.51
Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)backed CD Riestra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.66
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.15
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.85
CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$707.8
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.98
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
All 17 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+55.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Olympics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+79.3%+$117.59
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$109.57
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.43
Will Slovakia record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,878Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+74.9%+$1,405.92
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$282.26
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.7%+$77.46
Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+94.9%+$754.38
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$282.05
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+258.8%+$188.16
Will Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+189.1%+$1,520.58
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.97
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$1,184.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$484.32
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$150
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+189.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$404.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,589Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$1,769.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$15.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$299
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)backed FC Machida Zelvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.