South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2964367fd380a75fe3fd39a3896db78062635f82a2e09115bcf103291efcb5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 18c | 1,525$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,491$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.58 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,453$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 21c | 1,325$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 1,268$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 996.81$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.78 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 19c | 870.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 79c | 500.33$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 25c | 494.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 79c | 400.31$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 289.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 261.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 21c | 207.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 176.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b8…98d8backed Yes | 17c | 112.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 105.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 91.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 23c | 53.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 37.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…34bbbacked No | 79c | 33.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 80cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…1fd7backed No | 78c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…9d5bbacked No | 80c | 16.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will CD Tolima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.