South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tolima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fccb98e755dba0181d9bb378d00c1ac179281b7100c5421337d887b067d91fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes | 46c | 10,074$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,454.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 19c | 3,618$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.83 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 929.13$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 841.52$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 42c | 754.46$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 54c | 436.12$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.87 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 435.56$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 57c | 435.56$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 57c | 435.56$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 57c | 435.36$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 33c | 421.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 58c | 316.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 58c | 316.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 31c | 304.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.07 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 54c | 281.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 54c | 281.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 54c | 281.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 54c | 280.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 54c | 280.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 79c | 258.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 197.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 57c | 186.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 171.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 61c | 166.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 61c | 166.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 61c | 166.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 54c | 161.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 54c | 161.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 148.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 57c | 116.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 43c | 113.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 67c | 110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 109.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 104.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 60c | 102.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…fb4abacked Yes | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 54c | 94.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked No | 54c | 76.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed No | 55c | 76.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 66.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 65.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Yes | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 63.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 54c | 51.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Yes | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…6862backed Yes | 75c | 45.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…e928backed Yes | 42c | 44.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 57c | 36.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed No | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 43c | 33.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 54c | 32.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked No | 54c | 22.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 56c | 22.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked No | 56c | 22.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Yes | 74c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tolima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-07?No won
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.