AI · resolved market

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e30d4a000c5098786859ed900fa666527689cc15b8d186d74dcb61642b01a43

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,793,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,448,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,793,787 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x49a7…5f17backed Yes	2c	180,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes	6c	74,520$4,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,609.78	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afe…4504backed Yes	6c	66,867$3,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,941.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes	0c	60,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	292	0.3%1 W · 291 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	3c	58,162$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.25	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Yes	3c	50,720$1,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,724.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd029…6e16backed Yes	6c	43,280$2,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,487.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	3c	35,017$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.29	190	11.6%22 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e3e…4a75backed Yes	7c	32,026$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff8d…93fcbacked Yes	4c	28,256$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7658…c4eabacked Yes	4c	27,807$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.05	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf75…7018backed Yes	5c	25,627$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.73	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e7…89b4backed Yes	9c	25,518$2,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,288.43	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e39…d2f1backed Yes	4c	22,638$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+75.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc921…c192backed Yes	13c	22,455$2,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,931.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	2c	22,107$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.63	183	11.5%21 W · 162 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41c…1d7dbacked Yes	4c	22,100$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes	10c	21,133$2,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,113.89	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa47b…a496backed Yes	8c	16,357$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	15,439$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.98	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c71…5176backed Yes	11c	15,205$1,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,724	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes	14c	13,999$1,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,961.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes	7c	13,766$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.34	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0888…40d8backed Yes	4c	12,856$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes	3c	11,257$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.74	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed Yes	3c	10,363$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.43	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed Yes	4c	10,165$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.54	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	3c	10,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.7	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	10,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	58	0%0 W · 58 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbdc…3d54backed Yes	5c	8,816$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.63	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35a3…2a32backed Yes	5c	8,097$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.74	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Yes	6c	7,605$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.17	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x241c…1b2ebacked Yes	4c	7,593$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes	3c	7,143$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.15	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2d…ddc1backed Yes	4c	7,120$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.21	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ac…cb52backed Yes	4c	6,976$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.17	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712d…3d9abacked Yes	4c	6,849$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes	4c	6,523$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.07	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes	8c	5,745$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c62…fe5abacked Yes	9c	5,649$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	4c	5,642$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.02	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd02d…108ebacked Yes	4c	5,134$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.81	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	26cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes	2c	5,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-33%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes	8c	4,824$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.42	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae7…0fd1backed Yes	3c	4,564$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes	1c	4,453$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes	6c	4,440$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.58	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a1…fb90backed Yes	3c	4,400$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…ec1dbacked Yes	5c	4,247$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes	4c	4,000$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked Yes	3c	3,987$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a1…f3f7backed Yes	3c	3,643$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Yes	2c	3,313$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.27	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x098e…f289backed Yes	3c	3,126$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9746…c31cbacked Yes	3c	3,100$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e2…c125backed Yes	3c	2,941$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…e204backed Yes	8c	2,556$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.89	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes	4c	2,505$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.73	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	15cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes	5c	2,500$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Yes	4c	2,414$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a5e6backed Yes	4c	2,402$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes	2c	2,387$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes	5c	2,319$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.32	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0b5…e89ebacked Yes	4c	2,234$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7be…c354backed Yes	3c	2,233$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…1a22backed Yes	4c	2,072$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…c058backed Yes	5c	2,063$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3216…60bcbacked Yes	5c	2,051$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85e3…202cbacked Yes	5c	2,050$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29af…2473backed Yes	5c	2,050$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.52	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0297…85bbbacked Yes	4c	2,045$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf069…7f74backed Yes	5c	2,040$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bab…a871backed Yes	5c	2,006$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bb…3105backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc6…81aabacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe633…c0febacked Yes	3c	1,800$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…0438backed Yes	6c	1,705$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	7c	1,700$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.83	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed Yes	4c	1,682$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.56	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa7…bb1cbacked Yes	3c	1,682$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57af…cd44backed Yes	5c	1,633$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b09…4d75backed Yes	6c	1,629$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5770…bafcbacked Yes	8c	1,624$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.96	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffad…83bbbacked Yes	6c	1,585$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x861c…0ae5backed Yes	9c	1,576$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	3c	1,547$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.18	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…df03backed Yes	5c	1,501$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd737…71bbbacked Yes	5c	1,500$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2c…e158backed Yes	6c	1,480$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.2	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.21per pick	36cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b21…b8abbacked Yes	8c	1,432$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.86	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa834…71aebacked Yes	7c	1,430$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de2…feabbacked Yes	9c	1,375$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c14…b404backed Yes	4c	1,297$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7d…bb96backed Yes	5c	1,297$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56af…e2a4backed Yes	8c	1,281$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x355f…0df8backed Yes	8c	1,262$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes	7c	1,250$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event