TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$718,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$720,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $718,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 719 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee50…7ed6backed Yes56c27,987$15,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,263.491788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No58c25,588$14,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,880.962615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4034…b704backed No50c15,234$7,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,61710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…19f1backed Yes50c15,234$7,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes47c15,113$7,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,038.322853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes39c12,171$4,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,482.76453.1%34 W · 30 L+12.9wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+95.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x21a1…f3f7backed No1c10,750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009435.1%33 W · 61 L+13.1wins+0.14per pick21cpaid+167%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4281…b581backed No1c8,919$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-68.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed No61c8,243$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.372416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes36c8,000$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.81838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No26c7,429$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.072941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c14…cc49backed No40c6,247$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes48c5,779$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.94843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes67c5,743$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.482133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes32c5,692$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.296439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f9b…0029backed No54c5,530$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.84128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-80.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes43c5,250$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.325843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes63c4,278$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.342948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed No57c4,077$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked No50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No58c3,678$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.9745738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked No63c3,635$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.671315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed No40c3,613$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes44c3,292$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.566328.6%18 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes72c3,259$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.11291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No57c3,129$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.313831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed Yes51c3,118$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed Yes45c3,087$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.582330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c3,003$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.621,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…5608backed Yes43c3,000$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.991546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes55c2,900$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.661540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes44c2,889$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.491435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d1…32b8backed No59c2,600$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No42c2,582$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.51921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes43c2,510$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.76839.7%27 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes47c2,452$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.37132.4%23 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes33c2,415$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.636328.6%18 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed No48c2,396$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.054850%24 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No46c2,338$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.6812636.5%46 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No66c2,299$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.238122.2%18 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc51d…3ca1backed No61c2,197$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.571435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked Yes41c2,119$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.732020%4 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80f8…7448backed No44c2,004$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.961435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8f…dd80backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…8496backed No1c1,830$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x723e…ba7fbacked No22c1,828$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.7340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No39c1,774$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.452657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed No64c1,766$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77e5…ec41backed Yes41c1,666$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes47c1,626$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.218923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed No69c1,588$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9a…b2d4backed Yes56c1,583$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01cb…da5ebacked No44c1,583$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc7…75b7backed No44c1,583$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…ece0backed Yes56c1,583$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2582…292bbacked Yes56c1,583$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…cc07backed Yes56c1,583$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f19…bda2backed No44c1,583$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6e…15d9backed Yes56c1,583$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339b…17f8backed No44c1,583$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbef1…b511backed No44c1,583$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed No57c1,571$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…272dbacked No55c1,569$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.231040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c49…c3d2backed Yes56c1,532$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1a…f930backed Yes56c1,532$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x368e…9107backed No44c1,532$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cfe…700bbacked Yes56c1,532$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8997…6b4bbacked No44c1,532$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee44…3ac9backed No44c1,532$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd6…ae9cbacked Yes56c1,532$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cc…1e7abacked No44c1,532$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd0…c788backed No44c1,532$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d2…87abbacked Yes56c1,532$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6151566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x312c…7706backed No44c1,491$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eab…4affbacked Yes56c1,491$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c5…540bbacked No44c1,491$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…3a6abacked No44c1,491$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b4…8978backed Yes56c1,491$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44d…674dbacked Yes56c1,491$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4742…d15fbacked Yes56c1,491$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa32c…88c2backed No44c1,491$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…9128backed No44c1,491$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dff…4d00backed Yes56c1,491$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b7…0b5ebacked No44c1,479$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f0…0e16backed Yes56c1,479$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba6f…b951backed No44c1,479$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4220…efd4backed No44c1,479$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…e094backed Yes56c1,479$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd757…9f6bbacked No44c1,479$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5e…158abacked No44c1,479$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb175…b60abacked Yes56c1,479$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbe…c268backed Yes56c1,479$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3b…d948backed Yes56c1,479$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2906…eda8backed Yes56c1,473$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b69…3a3fbacked No44c1,473$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…6b55backed No44c1,473$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe723…de32backed Yes56c1,473$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…9d15backed No44c1,473$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.