TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bb7…44f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$995.16
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$378.19
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,748.66
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.2%+$98.75
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+196.5%+$2,081.02
Will Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$46.59
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$573.32
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$843.67
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$96.87
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,800
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$157.55
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$649.53
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15,761Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+54.1%+$8,520.84
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+220.6%+$2,055.37
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,549Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+62.6%+$6,608.6
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$362.74
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,746.45
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,826Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+50.1%+$1,916.48
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$206.07
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,042.75
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$552.49
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,319.47
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$873
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,921.76
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$924
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,430.45
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.57
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$437
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+360.8%+$325.43
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+65.3%+$474
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,633.14
Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$604.22
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levon Aronian win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.72
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.5
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$944.19
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.8
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$763.52
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.82
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.48
Will Wei Yi win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.81
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+140.6%+$227.56
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.22
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+102.8%+$199.74
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-88.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36%+$386.59
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.62
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,683.61
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.94
Will Solana reach $350 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$441.1
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Will Solana dip to $100 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.62
Will XRP reach $5.40 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.05
Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Solana reach $250 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.89
Will Solana reach $220 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.12
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.39
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.36
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.75
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.35
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.96
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$246.42
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$367.69
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.48
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.65
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$335
Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.91
Will the Jets win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.72
Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.09
Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.52
Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,247.99
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,049.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GIANTXbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$251
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,456.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.