NHL · resolved market
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f335fab453e399ff6b59c22577228391b730a9748579031d4b1ab50b354ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 57c | 30,883$17,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,476.78 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed No | 49c | 22,031$10,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,300.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 20,925$9,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,367.36 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 47c | 13,362$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.71 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 49c | 8,187$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.83 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Yes | 10c | 7,143$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.33 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 60c | 5,200$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.75 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Yes | 52c | 4,808$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.15 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 48c | 4,092$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.76 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Yes | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…4c9ebacked Yes | 61c | 892.81$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 27c | 884.87$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 46c | 870.31$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.97 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 54c | 800$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed No | 40c | 741.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…52d1backed Yes | 50c | 501.45$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 40c | 459.26$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.56 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 43c | 429.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa082…f877backed Yes | 58c | 413.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 50c | 407$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 50c | 337.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed Yes | 59c | 336.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a16…1129backed Yes | 42c | 258.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…be29backed Yes | 9c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked No | 46c | 227.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 51c | 211.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb264…881abacked Yes | 53c | 198.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dc31backed Yes | 57c | 189.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 169.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…99c0backed Yes | 6c | 163.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 48c | 160$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 46c | 160$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 47c | 137.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 48c | 136.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 42c | 130.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes | 52c | 130.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0083backed Yes | 60c | 127.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…0aa8backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 41c | 102.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +105%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…d362backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…e2a2backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…6286backed Yes | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 93.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed No | 51c | 84.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…facfbacked No | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 56c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…7c80backed Yes | 67c | 74.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…63f3backed Yes | 51c | 70.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 47c | 65.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 60c | 49.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…4d2abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…82e2backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 30c | 39.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…0ff7backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a52…b655backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8264…845abacked Yes | 54c | 34.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…9916backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 32.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed No | 42c | 32.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 51c | 31.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…7155backed No | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…3871backed No | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…c3b4backed No | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…92dfbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 45c | 25.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked Yes | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…e3a0backed No | 52c | 24.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 43c | 24.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…9129backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…5432backed Yes | 65c | 20.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…6046backed Yes | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?this page
- Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.