TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb2e…e2a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$120.92
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$80
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$14.11
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$52.99
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.06
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$55.7
Canucks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+233.3%+$28
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.95
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Blackhawks vs. Flamesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+900%+$270
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+114.2%+$56.76
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.99
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Marcus Kleveland (NOR) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.05
Will Dane Menzies (NZL) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
Will Ryoma Kimata (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.42
Will Eli Bouchard (CAN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Mark McMorris (CAN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+150%+$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryanair say "On-Time" or "On Time" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+334.8%+$76.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$7.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.