NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa385e43bd2dc5fe42d1834d7dba42fcdf16e1515882542a4936c61743856a09f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blackhawks | 42c | 38,698$16,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,298.92 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flames | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 57c | 17,471$9,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,925.64 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks | 42c | 12,454$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,189.33 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Blackhawks | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.15 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 58c | 8,992$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.23 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Flames | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 58c | 6,232$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.51 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…9411backed Blackhawks | 42c | 5,098$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blackhawks | 41c | 4,800$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.83 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 57c | 4,210$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.7 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Blackhawks | 70c | 4,050$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.92 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 58c | 3,811$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.19 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Flames | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blackhawks | 71c | 3,334$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.87 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Flames | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…7e7cbacked Flames | 58c | 2,930$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 57c | 2,495$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.69 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…f0ecbacked Flames | 59c | 2,331$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blackhawks | 41c | 2,275$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.2 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 57c | 2,266$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.53 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flames | 58c | 2,185$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.95 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Flames | 57c | 2,154$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Flames | 59c | 2,100$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Flames | 57c | 2,042$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.05 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Flames | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Flames | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 37c | 1,822$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,768$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…d2d9backed Flames | 58c | 1,765$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 41c | 1,751$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Flames | 39c | 1,681$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.52 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,639$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.83 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 14c | 1,508$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,502$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.16 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 61c | 1,432$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.72 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blackhawks | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.12 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd624…0766backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,302$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flames | 7c | 1,261$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…ee0abacked Flames | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Blackhawks | 41c | 1,137$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blackhawks | 69c | 1,120$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,090$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.48 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Flames | 59c | 1,090$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.22 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 57c | 1,056$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.68 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Flames | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Blackhawks | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Blackhawks | 42c | 950$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks | 77c | 946.19$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Flames | 58c | 918$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Flames | 57c | 890.8$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flames | 11c | 850.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…8384backed Blackhawks | 72c | 833.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Flames | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flames | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blackhawks | 42c | 691.57$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.11 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 56c | 633.25$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.62 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 58c | 610.81$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.27 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Flames | 59c | 610.17$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Blackhawks | 41c | 570.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 7c | 539.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Blackhawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Blackhawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Flames | 49c | 496.41$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Blackhawks | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Flames | 58c | 476.18$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.18 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…52c1backed Blackhawks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Blackhawks | 42c | 464.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…916ebacked Blackhawks | 43c | 461.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db0…ece3backed Flames | 58c | 423.96$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 61c | 415.16$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Flames | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Flames | 58c | 398.19$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flames | 58c | 360.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Flames | 59c | 360$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Blackhawks | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae15…bb83backed Flames | 58c | 349.95$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cce…f41abacked Flames | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 41c | 330.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Blackhawks | 79c | 324.85$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…eed1backed Blackhawks | 43c | 313.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Flames | 54c | 309.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flames | 39c | 307.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flames | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 58c | 291.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…7d52backed Blackhawks | 44c | 280.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d8…0af3backed Blackhawks | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 59c | 256$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Flames | 37c | 254.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Flames | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…52b6backed Blackhawks | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3417…6619backed Blackhawks | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…b1c0backed Blackhawks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Flamesthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.