TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb1a2…372a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,280
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,010Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$4,990
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$880
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,566Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,321.92
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$940
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,642.65
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,575
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$195.46
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$700
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+488.2%+$2,490
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,731Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,061.01
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$660
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,680
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$903
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,340
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$420
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$740
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$740
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,530
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,952Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+60.2%+$6,591.08
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$1,050
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,026Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$2,153.99
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$800
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$225.28
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,134.25
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$4,917.86
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$5,759.78
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$840
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.45
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$2,810
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,457Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$5,283.16
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,921.34
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$4,800
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,898Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$5,398.68
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,235Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$5,264.96
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,009Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+123.4%+$13,588.7
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in Home Runs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,029.89
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005.6
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$570
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$609.44
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+54%+$126.97
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$120
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST2352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$720
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$855
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$422.3
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$520
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$600
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,970Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25.9%+$1,030
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,220
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$780
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,978Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,492.22
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$520
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,450
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$721.1
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,702.14
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,025.58
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,020
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$665.84
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$15.41
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,459.99
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.36
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$159
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$254.09
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$676
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$490
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$750
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,443.2
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$774
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,080
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$940
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,184.98
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,279.98
Blackhawks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,239
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,205.08
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,060
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$1,206.6
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$413.39
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$10,502.05
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$5,200
Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+100%+$1,000
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$5,879.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$9,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$20,399.96
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,869Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+318.3%+$9,130.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,599.79
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$346.78
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,850Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+94.6%+$12,150
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56,232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$35,951.91
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$184
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$55.86
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$111.33
Iran strike on Israel before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$581.83
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+105.7%+$15,975.22
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,077Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+276.1%+$11,255.6
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,144.83
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37,682Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+83.9%+$31,602.98
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$502.61
Iran military response by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$277.49
Iran military response by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$345.66
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+32%+$1,375.85
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$58.65
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,030.14
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+71.8%+$10.45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$628.29
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$662.69
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+476.3%+$1,087.99
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$1,036.34
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,146.64
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$139.99
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,062.49
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,599.59
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.09
Hyperliquid all time high before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.62
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$5,994.64
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.87
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$9,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$9,498.8
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,727Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30%+$1,119.6
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.92
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$51.78
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$278.97
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22,064Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+147.8%+$32,608.26
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,526.1%+$281.9
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$416.94
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,317.64
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,010
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,541Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$3,392.48
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,593.85
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$218.06
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,996.24
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,943.34
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.93
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$3,750
All 17 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+36.3%+$803.73
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$191.25
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.07
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,413Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+107.1%+$2,584.12
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.57
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,535.68
Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.24
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,213.81
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$124.04
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$626.93
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$531.38
Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$691.08
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$72
Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$106.76
Diddy sex tape released before November? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.04
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84,545Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$27,425.63
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60.44
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16,965.82
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17,143.86
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$13,312.79
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$1,759.67
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+66.7%+$294.17
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14,059Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+30.1%+$4,227.38
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$217.55
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164,179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+28.1%+$46,065.79
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43,867Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+71.9%+$31,527.75
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+71%+$2,963.75
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70,796Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+74.9%+$53,021.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$30,980.24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13,492Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+859.9%+$116,023.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,728.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18,884.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33,415.95
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70,890.2
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$758.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick23cpaid+154.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+65.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,300
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,420
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$5,345.58
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$287.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+285.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+285.6%+$1,231.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$3,700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.4%+$86.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$3,358.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,259.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.