NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5134b6d066fcae04afa8fdd2aa01b585abf126872feed5b6d3edaed8aed31845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Maple Leafs, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Bruins | 45c | 112,196$50,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,889.1 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 42,008$23,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,104.45 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.93 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 27,227$14,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,974.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 21,995$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.02 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Bruins | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 11,470$5,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Maple Leafs | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 8,995$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.24 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 7,413$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bruins | 43c | 6,666$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.55 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bruins | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 64c | 5,135$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.15 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 5,062$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.1 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bruins | 44c | 4,663$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.28 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bruins | 44c | 4,581$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.11 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 4,563$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.56 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bruins | 44c | 4,497$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.94 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bruins | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bruins | 44c | 3,767$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.51 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bruins | 74c | 3,680$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.83 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,561$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 80c | 2,406$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,400$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Bruins | 44c | 2,357$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.97 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Maple Leafs | 6c | 2,316$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Bruins | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,125$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,081$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.69 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bruins | 44c | 2,069$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.72 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.1 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Bruins | 44c | 1,665$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Bruins | 44c | 1,614$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.64 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bruins | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,600$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.38 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,350$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Bruins | 43c | 1,350$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bruins | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.15 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,311$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.03 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,255$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,225$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.98 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Bruins | 68c | 1,195$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.93 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bruins | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins | 43c | 1,128$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,066$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bruins | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,004$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Bruins | 44c | 1,003$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.74 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 972.49$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.87 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 50c | 947.93$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.29 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Maple Leafs | 5c | 933.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 928.57$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Bruins | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 863.87$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.29 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…72a3backed Bruins | 45c | 826.67$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.67 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bruins | 44c | 782$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.92 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…3582backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 682.05$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.77 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…a03dbacked Bruins | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ca…1648backed Bruins | 44c | 642.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…d4a4backed Bruins | 78c | 641.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Bruins | 44c | 622.22$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 613.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 605.78$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Bruins | 44c | 605.78$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…19d2backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 605.58$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Bruins | 44c | 605.58$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…7743backed Bruins | 44c | 595.52$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…a709backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 595.52$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Bruins | 48c | 592.64$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.92 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 579.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…e0d5backed Bruins | 44c | 569.57$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…9417backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 569.57$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…17eabacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 563.39$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…2eb6backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 533.31$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Maple Leafs | 7c | 501.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bruins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bruins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Bruins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Bruins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…64cebacked Bruins | 44c | 454.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.