TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb72…3582

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.37
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.48
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$577.6
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$236.81
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+132.6%+$283.74
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$118.05
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$546
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37%+$147.21
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$380.65
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$165.83
Golden Knights vs. Flyersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$79.95
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$126.78
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$365
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$388.77
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$617.54
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$345.88
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$341
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196.96
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$103.18
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$276.01
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$360.58
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.23
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.28
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$367
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$102.43
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$123.9
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$86.47
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$91
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$320
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$287.46
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$245
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$510
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$384.31
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.61
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$431.71
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$442.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Boston Collegebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$34.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.