TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed No34c4,515$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.4224340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No15c3,416$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4449840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No20c3,202$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.5774935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes75c2,090$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.196837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No15c2,077$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8314736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No14c2,001$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6112138.8%47 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No15c2,000$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3336942.5%157 W · 212 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes68c1,650$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.011,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes63c1,548$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.768959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked No14c799.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No16c772.57$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7926931.6%85 W · 184 L-22.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No18c703.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.681650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No10c663.46$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1644933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c648.47$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.432,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No14c641.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.752437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+162.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes68c569.13$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1347246.8%221 W · 251 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No14c554$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.564443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes75c522.81$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.175763.2%36 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No15c512$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0930949.8%154 W · 155 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes60c502.29$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.787739%30 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No34c436.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.777236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No25c434.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7938953.7%209 W · 180 L+21.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No26c433.89$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8912338.2%47 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No14c410.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3252246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes57c367.07$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.073754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8d…2218backed Yes61c360.12$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No13c334.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No13c330.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.324143.9%18 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No39c323.75$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.122352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed No16c299.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.861797.8%14 W · 165 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No15c298.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.453652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9e…57f6backed Yes70c285.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…7de8backed Yes64c227.67$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No41c209.77$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.023531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed No14c206$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.871952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No41c205.39$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.048741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No15c196.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.589946.5%46 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes74c185$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.059750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No36c172.83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes50c165.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7110849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No14c160$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.144944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f33…bbd2backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No46c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.46470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5310%0 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No16c145.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7122552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked No27c136.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.121637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.823247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No40c114$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.385143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes58c114$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7612348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No14c108.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2318643.5%81 W · 105 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725e…5ea1backed No14c92.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed No39c89.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.973444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb72…3582backed No14c85.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked No14c78.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.144944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0129134.4%100 W · 191 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6561437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No44c53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4917451.7%90 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205637.5%21 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes60c48.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3212442.7%53 W · 71 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No44c44.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.683641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes66c41.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.017762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.067363%46 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed No40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No38c38.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes64c36.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.362352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes66c30.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.551770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed Yes74c30.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.872343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes76c30.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.221850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.18232.9%27 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.47548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed No49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+52.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes69c27.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6727750.2%139 W · 138 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes68c26.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.512055%11 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d5…88eabacked Yes78c24.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…189abacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Yes79c17.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.63246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Yes64c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.762572%18 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ac2…4fd8backed Yes80c14.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.88580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Yes80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.