Champions League · resolved market
Will Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e94bf59e8601c0fa347ca6b8fb37eeb5a260b370a3305d1dfdfea77f5a6e3fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 6,606$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.29 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,227$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.71 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,772$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.85 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 1,027$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 68c | 860.03$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.14 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 33c | 564.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 10c | 523.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 23c | 507.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Yes | 23c | 453.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 12c | 346$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 32c | 309.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 26c | 293.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 80c | 241.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 11c | 228.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 78c | 219.19$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 10c | 195$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 183.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 10c | 167.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yes | 33c | 165.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 12c | 156.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 15c | 154$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 13c | 151.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…7de8backed Yes | 26c | 133.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 120.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 65c | 115.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 16c | 105.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 75c | 105.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 104.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 80c | 99.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 86.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed No | 79c | 77.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…d377backed Yes | 22c | 48.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 73c | 41.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Yes | 35c | 34.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 77c | 28.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-14?Yes won
- Will Tre Fiori FC win on 2026-07-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.