TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaacb…90cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.11
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+513.5%+$1,695.76
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$692.76
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$803.18
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.69
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.13
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.75
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.58
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.17
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.94
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: France (-4.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3112.9%4 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick6cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,870.6%+$9,621.84
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+357.8%+$7,055.43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+281%+$11,747.25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+249.3%+$3,132
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,252.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,124.3
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.79
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,433.39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,337.28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.92
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.23
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.36
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.53
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.65
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,556.56
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Dplus (BO5) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.