Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe20fcfd54937c2a48a7b8521ca349e6a2c4373566328ebb950a8c35ab1be3d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,210,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,994,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,210,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 814 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 41c | 259,495$106,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,218.13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 38c | 178,381$67,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,247.7 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 38c | 71,087$26,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,868.79 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked No | 55c | 53,516$29,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,056.99 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 38c | 48,684$18,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,561.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 15c | 48,344$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,311.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 19c | 45,831$8,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.33 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 0c | 42,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 11c | 41,688$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 57c | 34,694$19,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,853.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…cb43backed Yes | 52c | 32,444$16,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,749.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 28,994$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.67 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…c697backed Yes | 23c | 28,543$6,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,677.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed No | 61c | 26,205$16,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,179.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…b127backed No | 69c | 22,956$15,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 68c | 20,079$13,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.26 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 40c | 19,570$7,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,923.92 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 37c | 17,531$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.4 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 47c | 16,596$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,720.53 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…a875backed Yes | 50c | 16,521$8,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,208.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 45c | 15,959$7,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,834.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…78e2backed Yes | 3c | 15,600$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 52c | 15,299$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.52 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 55c | 15,003$8,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,726.6 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…64a7backed Yes | 33c | 14,723$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 3c | 14,187$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.65 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 13,304$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.67 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…7410backed Yes | 2c | 12,873$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b9…51dcbacked Yes | 76c | 12,741$9,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,710.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…bb98backed Yes | 22c | 11,081$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 37c | 10,827$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.46 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb483…e9dbbacked No | 63c | 10,783$6,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…cf01backed Yes | 36c | 10,560$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…ac62backed Yes | 27c | 9,898$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…3588backed Yes | 27c | 8,918$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 77c | 8,762$6,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 25c | 8,463$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.57 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 1c | 8,322$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 80c | 8,298$6,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.38 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked No | 56c | 8,039$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.59 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 60c | 7,058$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.05 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…2212backed No | 54c | 6,666$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed No | 69c | 6,580$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…56d0backed No | 77c | 6,458$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 59c | 6,130$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.42 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…ba48backed Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 35c | 5,817$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…cba7backed No | 16c | 5,805$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,876.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 40c | 5,795$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.23 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…9f0ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,635$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 43c | 5,526$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.16 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…ab6fbacked Yes | 24c | 5,500$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 44c | 5,420$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…31e3backed Yes | 40c | 5,355$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 39c | 5,318$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.23 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 42c | 5,257$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,028$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,005$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…5d67backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…c3f0backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…0022backed Yes | 21c | 4,907$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 37c | 4,897$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.02 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Yes | 54c | 4,872$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed No | 56c | 4,871$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 50c | 4,840$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.18 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd047…b496backed Yes | 2c | 4,753$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 24c | 4,735$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.18 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…7782backed Yes | 26c | 4,645$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…6de9backed Yes | 52c | 4,603$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 9c | 4,600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.88 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,277$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 23c | 4,264$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.15 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed No | 53c | 4,223$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 53c | 4,155$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 37c | 4,104$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.18 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 48c | 3,900$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 36c | 3,858$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 55c | 3,841$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.51 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 27c | 3,738$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 57c | 3,699$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.67 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 31c | 3,684$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.4 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 62c | 3,600$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…3f79backed Yes | 9c | 3,578$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 8c | 3,489$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.61 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…093dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,455$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…d979backed No | 76c | 3,370$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 45c | 3,347$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,306$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…5a6fbacked No | 72c | 3,300$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…4629backed Yes | 32c | 3,300$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…035ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,277$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked No | 77c | 3,216$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 56c | 3,191$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.68 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 23c | 3,023$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 56c | 3,011$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.45 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…0a48backed No | 57c | 3,007$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.