Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe498447cc887be42044835ac88ece14c34a158a3e6f5e1be07a89629d7100b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,139,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,013,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,139,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 0c | 93,127$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.86 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…96babacked Yes | 0c | 61,654$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes | 2c | 38,474$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.16 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed Yes | 0c | 37,984$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…6e7dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955a…3cd3backed Yes | 18c | 30,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 2c | 28,352$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.06 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 26,382$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 24,878$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…7813backed Yes | 15c | 22,996$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,080$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…ee8dbacked Yes | 4c | 14,428$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 3c | 12,832$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 11,094$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,053$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 9,962$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 1c | 9,792$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…7be2backed Yes | 2c | 8,966$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 2c | 8,532$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,222$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.66 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 0c | 7,964$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…8e52backed Yes | 1c | 7,217$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…131ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,797$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed Yes | 1c | 6,230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 1c | 5,969$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…e130backed Yes | 0c | 5,878$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 14c | 5,693$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.45 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…fcc4backed Yes | 1c | 5,372$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,249$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.62 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c68cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…c3b0backed Yes | 1c | 4,036$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 5c | 3,970$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 7c | 3,894$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed Yes | 5c | 3,561$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7105…b9bbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 1c | 3,442$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5572backed Yes | 3c | 3,216$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 3,095$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,022$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 21c | 2,909$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.87 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…cc6bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,594$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.35 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,479$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 18c | 2,311$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed No | 79c | 1,664$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…a8f6backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,417$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 79c | 1,400$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 19c | 1,213$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.35 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 3c | 1,193$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…dfb5backed Yes | 27c | 1,132$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…375abacked Yes | 3c | 1,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…4733backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…6977backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…3ad3backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed Yes | 3c | 977.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked Yes | 26c | 769.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 26c | 699.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ed…7d8dbacked Yes | 2c | 694.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 10c | 672.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 13c | 639.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…efc9backed Yes | 24c | 633.69$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Yes | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…8af7backed Yes | 9c | 582.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…8998backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…0486backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…99f9backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 15c | 498.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 17c | 424.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 12c | 386$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…0deabacked Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…fc89backed No | 75c | 370$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…dd2fbacked Yes | 12c | 307.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…a1e3backed Yes | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…0edabacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…b8cfbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 30c | 269.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895b…eaf7backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…8247backed Yes | 13c | 234.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…6c18backed Yes | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…9ac4backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 80c | 187.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abb…46f9backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6997…ceb6backed Yes | 28c | 108.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…2655backed Yes | 10c | 105.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.