Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5523e3b9895124788b2bed38f4b6be72c3f41cd2d2ee4354d93b26a3f533eaf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,494,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,261,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,494,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 4c | 167,383$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.04 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes | 5c | 138,889$6,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 4c | 67,990$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.38 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 3c | 47,569$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.69 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 4c | 33,686$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.19 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…a855backed Yes | 1c | 21,487$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 18,836$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Yes | 6c | 16,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…9594backed Yes | 3c | 16,458$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +951%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 15,775$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…3588backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd195…7b7cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,449$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed Yes | 5c | 13,013$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.5 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +403.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 1c | 11,887$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…ba48backed Yes | 1c | 11,545$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 3c | 11,364$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.33 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…69c5backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 2c | 8,930$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.34 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 8,134$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 1c | 7,608$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 4c | 6,954$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 2c | 6,892$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…b24bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,749$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…8fd6backed Yes | 4c | 6,541$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 4c | 6,526$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.62 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…4b34backed Yes | 4c | 6,037$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 2c | 5,903$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 2c | 5,777$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 5c | 5,768$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.09 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 5,607$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 5,416$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 2c | 5,337$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3521…b046backed Yes | 4c | 5,191$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.78 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…acb5backed Yes | 4c | 4,964$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,871$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 4,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 4c | 4,682$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf157…87d4backed Yes | 4c | 4,463$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 3c | 4,370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Yes | 5c | 4,152$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…2a59backed Yes | 4c | 4,018$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 3,967$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…127bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,603$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3ff5backed Yes | 4c | 3,600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 3c | 3,536$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…a795backed Yes | 5c | 3,529$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 6c | 3,279$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6066…7b1abacked Yes | 4c | 3,264$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…3476backed Yes | 2c | 3,100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…66eabacked Yes | 4c | 3,031$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…c5cebacked Yes | 4c | 2,985$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,856$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 3c | 2,788$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,750$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…ac62backed Yes | 4c | 2,699$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…3267backed Yes | 1c | 2,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Yes | 2c | 2,368$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…9b34backed Yes | 1c | 2,289$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…a4babacked Yes | 4c | 2,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 3c | 2,200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,183$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,181$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 6c | 2,016$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…2052backed Yes | 2c | 1,986$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…d717backed Yes | 3c | 1,916$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f10…012abacked Yes | 1c | 1,915$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,904$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…eb20backed Yes | 3c | 1,782$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,729$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…b4d2backed Yes | 6c | 1,613$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…491dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,468$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9025…d2ccbacked Yes | 5c | 1,391$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c244backed Yes | 3c | 1,360$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232b…5b1bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,311$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,272$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…97a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,199$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 6c | 1,128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…52c4backed Yes | 1c | 1,031$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +842%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b822backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…7410backed Yes | 3c | 933.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…5580backed Yes | 3c | 816.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…deb7backed Yes | 4c | 804.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…6dc2backed Yes | 7c | 746.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…0863backed Yes | 7c | 746.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…0edabacked Yes | 5c | 728.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 6c | 723.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…384ebacked Yes | 5c | 667$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 637.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…d5e9backed Yes | 3c | 618.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…4262backed Yes | 3c | 577.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 4c | 568.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 536.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked Yes | 5c | 525.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…b4f2backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.