TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f69…69c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,177.16
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.38
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$295.33
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.4
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.14
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$23.25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$76.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.83
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.23
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+488.2%+$398.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$246
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$460.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.29
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.94
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.88
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.37
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$57.82
All 5 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$358.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+161.1%+$273.27
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$204.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+188.4%+$21.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,323.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.