MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcbdb6132b815d849ae157ba7d0bc234131c0dafd948a8a4c8ea171705f3cf30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Colorado Rockies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 63c | 89,864$56,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,541.72 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 76,457$28,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,020.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets | 53c | 54,202$28,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,630.15 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 64c | 26,368$16,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,841.71 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 24,203$13,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,048.92 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 17,874$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,272.63 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…edc5backed Colorado Rockies | 77c | 12,657$9,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…25e0backed New York Mets | 0c | 10,341$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 9,473$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Mets | 27c | 9,292$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.88 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…9cc6backed New York Mets | 62c | 8,798$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 6,873$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.52 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 6,800$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.4 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 61c | 6,498$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.01 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 6,430$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.34 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked New York Mets | 25c | 5,678$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.28 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked New York Mets | 62c | 5,445$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.69 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 5,224$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 55c | 4,075$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked New York Mets | 63c | 3,911$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.06 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 3,851$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.74 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 64c | 3,686$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.8 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 61c | 3,631$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.13 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 3,121$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.01 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 2,580$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.3 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 2,551$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.58 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 64c | 2,442$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.02 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…d661backed New York Mets | 27c | 2,422$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 1c | 2,226$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Mets | 24c | 2,222$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.45 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed New York Mets | 13c | 2,092$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.02 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 1,910$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 63c | 1,898$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.01 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 64c | 1,772$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.66 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,750$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.89 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 1,540$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 77c | 1,481$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.37 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 1,366$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.84 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…9789backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 1,335$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed New York Mets | 18c | 1,326$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 1,306$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked New York Mets | 60c | 1,230$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 1,195$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.08 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked New York Mets | 20c | 1,111$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 1,089$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed New York Mets | 63c | 1,071$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.22 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Colorado Rockies | 74c | 996.14$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.92 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed New York Mets | 64c | 965.02$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.34 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked New York Mets | 10c | 949.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 932.41$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.73 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies | 75c | 897.05$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.9 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 859.65$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed New York Mets | 10c | 800$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 776.79$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 35c | 758.86$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 757.12$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.85 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 21c | 738.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…403dbacked New York Mets | 15c | 698.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets | 63c | 698.43$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.01 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…a24abacked New York Mets | 61c | 675.62$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 672.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 665.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.48 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 619.65$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.52 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 602.42$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 599.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed New York Mets | 14c | 594.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 590.59$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.83 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…9f94backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 581.49$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 577.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…5899backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 557.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 543.36$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets | 63c | 535.85$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Colorado Rockies | 66c | 526.58$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 524.82$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.55 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked New York Mets | 9c | 520$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 519.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed New York Mets | 12c | 500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed New York Mets | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked New York Mets | 12c | 500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed New York Mets | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 497.45$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 469.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed New York Mets | 64c | 459.22$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 452.77$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed New York Mets | 63c | 451.83$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.98 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Colorado Rockies | 76c | 427.96$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Mets | 47c | 411$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 63c | 399.63$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 391.92$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 388.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed New York Mets | 11c | 387.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Mets | 35c | 381.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed New York Mets | 40c | 379.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed New York Mets | 63c | 370.94$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1801…d03abacked New York Mets | 61c | 366.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 355.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed New York Mets | 64c | 339$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 325$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.15 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsthis page
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.