MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af313ca79c2ae5419d7456b0f83791186f310a2426d4ab5fddb3dc374971323

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Colorado Rockiesof New York Mets, Colorado Rockies
Resolved: Apr 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,895 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets	46c	2,205$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.8	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Colorado Rockies	54c	1,010$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.71	338	52.7%178 W · 160 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Colorado Rockies	57c	998.9$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.53	274	51.8%142 W · 132 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Colorado Rockies	60c	858.31$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.03	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Colorado Rockies	53c	733.43$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.71	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets	42c	668.03$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.48	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Mets	45c	541.73$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies	54c	466.71$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.47	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Colorado Rockies	55c	411.58$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.21	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets	40c	374.63$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.85	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed New York Mets	43c	336.91$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.87	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets	43c	301.71$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.66	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Colorado Rockies	57c	294.71$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.84	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Colorado Rockies	57c	259.79$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.71	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Colorado Rockies	53c	223.51$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.05	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed New York Mets	44c	198.77$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.46	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets	44c	198.76$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.45	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed New York Mets	47c	178.12$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.17	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Colorado Rockies	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	432	47%203 W · 229 L	-19.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Colorado Rockies	56c	173.86$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Colorado Rockies	53c	156.78$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.19	222	48.6%108 W · 114 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Colorado Rockies	55c	141.53$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.69	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Colorado Rockies	56c	130.39$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.37	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d00…7507backed New York Mets	43c	129.1$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.97	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee4…c3b9backed Colorado Rockies	59c	124.47$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.33	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed New York Mets	46c	118.34$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.44	140	34.3%48 W · 92 L	-13.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies	66c	117.06$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Colorado Rockies	54c	117.05$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.84	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked New York Mets	46c	113.92$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.15	477	43%205 W · 272 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked New York Mets	34c	112.42$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	795	43%342 W · 453 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	40c	108.06$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.72	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Colorado Rockies	54c	102.93$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.35	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Colorado Rockies	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed New York Mets	47c	96.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	784	54.5%427 W · 357 L	+19.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed New York Mets	46c	84.14$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets	44c	82.94$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.23	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Colorado Rockies	59c	82.66$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.89	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e26…e4bfbacked Colorado Rockies	60c	81.33$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.53	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+94.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Colorado Rockies	60c	81.33$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.53	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies	54c	75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Mets	46c	63.86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed New York Mets	48c	52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	404	46.5%188 W · 216 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed New York Mets	43c	50.77$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.64	841	22.7%191 W · 650 L	-81.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked New York Mets	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	113	46.9%53 W · 60 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Mets	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Colorado Rockies	55c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5a…59b9backed New York Mets	45c	49.42$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.24	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Colorado Rockies	56c	48.68$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	165	53.3%88 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed New York Mets	45c	43.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.58	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x520b…7645backed New York Mets	45c	42.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.34	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Colorado Rockies	55c	35.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.92	330	51.8%171 W · 159 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked New York Mets	42c	34.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	515	55%283 W · 232 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	46c	32.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed New York Mets	42c	30.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed New York Mets	42c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	290	47.6%138 W · 152 L	-11.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed New York Mets	39c	29.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	186	48.4%90 W · 96 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac3…c2b6backed New York Mets	45c	27.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.39	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Colorado Rockies	56c	26.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.57	243	50.2%122 W · 121 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed New York Mets	46c	25.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed New York Mets	44c	23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Colorado Rockies	57c	21.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	304	54.3%165 W · 139 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Colorado Rockies	57c	21.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	238	54.2%129 W · 109 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Colorado Rockies	57c	21.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	221	54.3%120 W · 101 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsColorado Rockies won
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event