TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e26…e4bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Huzhou: Polona Hercog vs Xinyu Gaobacked Xinyu Gao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngoldbacked Ekaterina Reyngold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Shymkent 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sean Cueninbacked Sean Cuenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.43
Mauthausen: Matthew William Donald vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Matthew William Donald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.84
Huzhou: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Chengyiyi Yuanbacked Anastasia Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Sora Fukudabacked Sora Fukuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Saint-Malo: Lulu Sun vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.99
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Ostapenkobacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+178.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$75.34
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$48.88
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Germany vs Austria: Germany vs Austriabacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs NOVO Esports (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Tōkyō vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.