NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814e62b6168908c4268294fa603173fc26059ed23d6ddd21e51c8b711b59a615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Oilers | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.98 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 40c | 3,108$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.82 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers | 50c | 1,932$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.13 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 48c | 1,784$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.53 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Ducks | 66c | 1,483$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.14 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 47c | 1,006$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.34 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Oilers | 34c | 961.12$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.78 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Oilers | 34c | 954.97$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Oilers | 41c | 673.87$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.29 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Ducks | 65c | 668.49$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 50c | 495.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Ducks | 40c | 489.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Ducks | 50c | 434.56$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Ducks | 52c | 395.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Oilers | 51c | 364.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oilers | 61c | 330.25$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Ducks | 49c | 310.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ducks | 64c | 299.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 56c | 296.56$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Oilers | 35c | 288.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Ducks | 69c | 286.22$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Oilers | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Ducks | 77c | 220.77$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Ducks | 41c | 169.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Oilers | 35c | 164.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Oilers | 63c | 162.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Ducks | 49c | 157.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Ducks | 30c | 156.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Ducks | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Ducks | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Oilers | 54c | 123.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Oilers | 16c | 120.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Ducks | 66c | 118.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked Ducks | 47c | 112.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Ducks | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks | 56c | 100.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ducks | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Oilers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…e4bfbacked Ducks | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oilers | 44c | 93.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Oilers | 44c | 89.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Oilers | 48c | 89.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Ducks | 51c | 78.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Ducks | 46c | 77.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Ducks | 66c | 75.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ducks | 64c | 75.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Oilers | 21c | 74.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Oilers | 67c | 73.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Ducks | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Ducks | 76c | 68.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Ducks | 75c | 68.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Ducks | 75c | 68.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…15d1backed Oilers | 35c | 67.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Oilers | 39c | 66.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Ducks | 66c | 65.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Oilers | 35c | 65.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Ducks | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Oilers | 35c | 64.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Ducks | 66c | 64.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ducks | 48c | 63.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Ducks | 66c | 60.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Oilers | 50c | 55.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Oilers | 35c | 54.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Ducks | 65c | 54.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…6b37backed Ducks | 38c | 53.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ducks | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Ducks | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ducks | 74c | 51.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Ducks | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Ducks | 45c | 49.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 65c | 46.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Oilers | 52c | 45.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0056backed Ducks | 57c | 44.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Ducks | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Ducks | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Ducks | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Oilers | 52c | 42.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Oilers | 49c | 39.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oilers | 40c | 39.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Oilers | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Ducks | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Ducks | 44c | 36.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Ducks | 76c | 36.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Oilers | 34c | 32.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Oilers | 62c | 31.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Ducks | 53c | 31.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Ducks | 66c | 31.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Ducks | 49c | 30.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Ducks | 46c | 30.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Oilers | 39c | 30.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Ducks | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ducks | 65c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Ducks | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Ducks | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Ducks | 45c | 28.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Ducks | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…958cbacked Oilers | 40c | 26.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Ducks | 54c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Ducks | 66c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked Oilers | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Oilers vs. DucksDucks won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.