TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd73b…6b37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 58 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$10.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.95
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$37.2
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.57
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.89
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.76
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
Will Solana reach $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Solana reach $300 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.08
Ethereum all time high by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$100.43
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+119.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$35.85
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.75
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+893.3%+$395.84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.5%+$41.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$123.63
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+138.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+92.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+285.5%+$89.93
Minnesota Twins sold by September 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$59.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$68.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leagues Cup Winner – MLS or Liga MX?backed MLS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+43.5%+$17.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.