Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f60575dd5f291035366298dedb7cdf643d069dbf0007ccd7ad08b55351a6b25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,665,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,127,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,665,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 77c | 194,886$150,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,217.84 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 21c | 136,336$29,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,114.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 13c | 130,000$16,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,479.1 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…b742backed Yes | 2c | 53,337$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 1c | 52,991$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…fdb4backed Yes | 2c | 49,330$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 4c | 47,546$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.89 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 0c | 41,713$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…d36fbacked Yes | 30c | 40,622$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9217backed Yes | 4c | 38,132$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…8585backed Yes | 0c | 33,660$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 3c | 33,562$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…b624backed Yes | 4c | 33,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 14c | 30,679$4,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.57 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 30,048$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…bf76backed Yes | 27c | 26,748$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…5288backed Yes | 3c | 23,696$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…0938backed Yes | 16c | 23,010$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,427$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 27c | 20,794$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.07 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 23c | 20,130$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.57 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 74c | 20,000$14,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.87 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 5c | 19,037$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c9…9860backed Yes | 12c | 18,135$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 7c | 17,190$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.4 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 9c | 16,866$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…b7a5backed Yes | 7c | 16,333$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 10c | 16,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…835abacked Yes | 11c | 15,915$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,372$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 73c | 14,988$10,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.83 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 22c | 14,211$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.31 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6122backed Yes | 4c | 12,920$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…15e4backed No | 75c | 12,575$9,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 2c | 12,522$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 80c | 12,027$9,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.18 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…5a20backed Yes | 28c | 12,000$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…2556backed Yes | 4c | 11,811$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.09 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 15c | 11,613$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 35c | 11,200$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 37c | 10,859$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…d0fbbacked No | 79c | 10,245$8,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Yes | 4c | 10,002$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e8…0d30backed Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 1c | 9,998$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 9,661$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 76c | 9,155$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 76c | 9,107$6,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.81 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 36c | 8,279$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 6c | 8,092$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 11c | 7,939$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,708$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No | 72c | 6,945$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.93 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 4c | 6,790$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 6,748$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…cb9bbacked Yes | 18c | 6,678$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 6,499$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 78c | 6,263$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.41 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 3c | 5,998$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…aef6backed Yes | 19c | 5,886$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 9c | 5,833$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.17 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 12c | 5,410$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.68 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 79c | 5,393$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.59 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ecd4backed Yes | 7c | 5,057$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 22c | 5,034$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.51 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…1293backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…95dfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…aa2bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,862$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 25c | 4,632$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.09 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…a4e4backed Yes | 3c | 4,617$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…24e2backed Yes | 1c | 4,493$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…0fbfbacked Yes | 2c | 4,489$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 20c | 4,473$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.35 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 9c | 4,430$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 27c | 4,416$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…52d3backed Yes | 1c | 4,299$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…e874backed No | 79c | 4,290$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 11c | 4,250$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…77aebacked Yes | 3c | 4,222$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 33c | 4,156$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.86 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 8c | 4,026$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.96 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 76c | 4,020$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…b6a5backed Yes | 2c | 4,018$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…f20cbacked Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…8275backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 76c | 3,988$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.75 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd18e…3535backed Yes | 1c | 3,879$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,781$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.7 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed Yes | 25c | 3,711$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.75 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…fa8bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,577$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 76c | 3,509$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.37 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…d1cabacked Yes | 36c | 3,469$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…28ffbacked Yes | 27c | 3,446$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed No | 71c | 3,437$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked No | 76c | 3,306$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.28 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.